HRC price hovers around $56/cwt in US

Hot-rolled coil prices in the United States stabilized on Wednesday January 27, with some market participants looking toward the February scrap settlement for the next indication of where prices might be headed.

Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, fob mill US was calculated at $56.10 per hundredweight ($1,122 per short ton) on January 27, largely unchanged from $56.06 per cwt the previous day and $56.08 per cwt a week earlier.

Inputs were collected in a range from $53-60 per cwt. Transactional data was rolled into the consumer sub-index due to a lack of liquidity there.

Lead times were around 10-12 weeks, or late March into April, market participants said.

Producers continue to be busy while inventories remain low, sources said.

Some speculated about the impact that the February scrap settlement might have on hot band prices, with some predicting that potentially flat busheling prices could help stabilize the market.

Yet others expect busheling prices to fall next month, which could begin to chip away at the HRC price rally. It remains to be seen where prime scrap is headed for February.

Quote of the day
“Under the circumstances that spot availability is limited, I don’t anticipate that domestic mills are going to aggressively lower the spot coil price,” one distributor source said.

Robert England and Thorsten Schier, both in New York, contributed to this report.

Explore the six macro-economic and steel-specific dynamics set to rebalance the Asia steel and scrap market in 2021. Read our full report, Asia Steel and Scrap: Six Key Forces Driving 2021, today.

What to read next
Analysts suggest that the "One, Big, Beautiful Bill" may impact clean energy and battery manufacturing in the US by altering key incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).This may disrupt supply chains, cut investment in renewable energy and raise costs for electric vehicles, home energy products and other clean technologies.
Explore the impact of the trade war on the Chinese paper market with insights into April's data and economic signals.
Soybean futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange held broadly steady in the front end of the curve on Thursday May 29, while contracts for farther delivery months faced some downward pressure.
Fastmarkets published its assessment of the MB-STE-0232 steel scrap No1 busheling, consumer buying price, delivered mill Chicago, $/gross ton on Thursday June 5, 2025.
US and European wheat futures rose on Thursday May 29 amid technical buying while market participants shrugged off projections of robust crops in Russia, India and the EU.
Here are the key takeaways from market participants on US ferrous scrap metal prices, market confidence, inventory and more from our May survey.