US Scrap Trends Outlook: March

March ferrous market poised for staunch increase

A confluence of demand-positive fundamentals are conspiring to ensure that US ferrous scrap prices will rise for the fourth consecutive month in March.

Escalating deep-sea ferrous export prices to Turkey post Earthquake, inclement weather, low inventory and a reported shortage of prime steel scrap substitute DRI, set against a backdrop of rising finished steel prices, are setting the scene for increases next month that could eclipse those of February. Learn more.

Make sense of the US steel scrap market and track the critical indicators impacting price movements in our March outlook.

What to read next
Here are the key takeaways from market participants on US ferrous scrap metal prices, market confidence, inventory and more from our July survey.
With steel reinforcing bar (rebar) producer Hybar’s first mill in Osceola, Arkansas, in operation for only nine months, the company announced last week that it had raised $1.1 billion to build a second rebar expansion mill next to the existing one.
New York-headquartered global commodities company Hartree Partners will take the first 330,000 tonnes of copper concentrate from Blue Moon Metals' Nussir project in Norway, Christian Kargl-Simard, the critical metals developer's chief executive officer, told Fastmarkets on Monday July 6.
China’s direct flat steel trade with the EU was already thin, at just 3-5% of total exports, or around 2 million tonnes a year, thanks to years of anti-dumping and countervailing duties. That leaves little room for the bloc’s newly tightened import quotas to inflict much additional direct damage, sources told Fastmarkets.
The transition of the iron ore market to a 61% Fe pricing benchmark is reshaping trading dynamics and leading participants across the value chain to reassess grade preferences, emerging demand centers and the growing importance of product quality in a decarbonizing steel sector, according to panelists speaking at the panel discussion “The benchmark transition ​and its implication from different voices​” at Iron Ore Decoded 2026, a conference co-organized by Fastmarkets and Horizon Insights.​
Iron ore market participants said Simandou’s production ramp-up remains on track to meet market expectations, with growing exports from Guinea expected to influence freight markets, high-grade ore pricing and steel decarbonization strategies.