Lighting, Purple, Light

Discover the key agenda topics 2026

Geopolitics & Regional Stability

  • Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, including developments in Iran and the Red Sea, are impacting shipping routes, insurance costs, and trade flows.
  • Disruption to shipping traffic and regional port operations is affecting steel logistics and delivery timelines.
  • Potential shifts in sourcing strategies as companies seek to reevaluate risk.
  • Winners may include producers with inland or alternative port access, while those reliant on disrupted routes may face delays and cost increases.

Decarbonization & Green Steel

  • Transition to low-carbon steelmaking using hydrogen-based DRI, electric arc furnaces (EAF), and carbon capture technologies.
  • Regional green steel initiatives in the UAE, Oman, Algeria, and Libya, including pilot projects and full-scale hydrogen-ready plants.
  • Certification and standardization of green steel products to meet global sustainability benchmarks and support export competitiveness.
  • Strategic alignment with net-zero targets and ESG expectations from global buyers and regulators.

Trade Policy & Global Market Shifts

  • Impact of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and tightening of import quotas on MENA and Asian exporters, alongside a wider look at carbon schemes globally.
  • Rising global protectionism and anti-dumping measures reshaping trade flows and creating new market dynamics.
  • Opportunities for MENA producers to gain EU market share due to lower carbon intensity compared to Asian mills.
  • Regional policy responses, such as Turkey’s revised inward processing regime and local sourcing mandates.

Raw Materials & Supply Chain Resilience

  • Growing demand for ferrous scrap driven by decarbonization, with limited availability in key MENA markets like Egypt, Morocco, and Saudi Arabia.
  • Surge in scrap imports and concerns over global scrap protectionism and EU export restrictions.
  • Iron ore flows and developments, including the impact of new projects.
  • DRI pellet supply constraints as green steel production scales up, alongside investments in pelletizing capacity across the region.
  • Infrastructure and logistics challenges, particularly in Africa, affecting competitiveness and delivery timelines.

Technology & Production Innovation

  • Innovations in process technology, including electric heating for DRI and carbon-reducing technology developments in current BOF operations.
  • Development of high-value steel products for automotive, renewable energy, and construction sectors.
  • Focus on energy efficiency, waste heat recovery, and digital transformation to reduce costs and emissions.

Africa’s Emerging Steel Markets

  • Strong GDP growth across Sub-Saharan Africa driving infrastructure-led steel demand.
  • New steelmaking capacity under development in Nigeria, Namibia, South Africa, Algeria, and Egypt.
  • Heavy reliance on imports for finished and semi-finished steel, with 75% of Africa’s steel imports being finished products.
  • Opportunities for local value addition, especially in flat steel production, to reduce import dependency.
  • Challenges include poor logistics, high debt burdens, and exposure to CBAM-related export costs.

India’s Steel Industry Growth

  • India’s steel demand is projected to nearly double by 2035, driven by infrastructure, automotive, and renewable energy sectors.
  • Capacity expansion from approximately 180 million tonnes to 260–280 million tonnes by 2035.
  • Shift toward value-added and specialty steels to meet evolving domestic and export market needs.
  • Decarbonization efforts include the National Green Hydrogen Mission, increased scrap usage, and pilot projects for hydrogen-based steelmaking.