LIVE FUTURES REPORT 08/09: Comex copper price enters consolidation phase

Comex copper prices were poised to finish the week on a bleak note with prices hitting a two-week low on profit-taking.

Copper for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange lost 7.50 cents or 2.4% to $3.0685 per lb. Earlier, the contract touched $3.0635, the lowest since August 28.

“Even though we remain fundamentally bullish towards copper, the rally seen over the summer trading lull may have run too far ahead of itself,” Metal Bulletin analyst Andy Farida said. “The lack of pullback also increased the possibility of an overdue correction. As such, a move to the downside may have just started but we still expect dips to remain well supported in the short term.”

On the data side, China’s unwrought copper and copper-fabricated product imports were unchanged in August on a monthly basis, while imports for the first eight months logged a 12% decline.

Since the second half of August, copper has moved swiftly towards the highest point since September 2014 on fund-buying and strong economic data from China and the USA. But prices seem to have reached a short-term top with technical selling now erasing some of those gains.

In supply-side news, copper miners in Chile are increasingly optimistic about industry prospects for the mid-to-long term but have said that caution, especially towards costs and investments, is still needed.

In the precious metals space, Comex gold for December settlement inched up $2.20 or 0.2% to $1,352.10 per oz.

Currency moves and data releases 

  • The dollar index declined 0.23% to 91.31. 
  • In other commodities, the Texas light sweet crude oil spot price was down $0.16 to $48.93 per barrel.
What to read next
The influential annual treatment and refining charge (TC/RC) benchmark that sets the price that smelters charge miners to process their copper concentrate could be at risk, according to multiple market sources, although most believe the system, or elements of it, will remain
Fastmarkets' initial low-carbon premium for nickel briquettes captured existing regional price differences, with growing awareness and legislative incentives indicating there is potential for a strong market to emerge
The Chilean government is pushing ahead with plans for a new copper smelter despite the global smelting crisis, Chile’s minister of mining, Aurora Williams told Fastmarkets, adding that the state will also play a key role in developing the country’s premium lithium assets
Just under two weeks ago, the chair of BHP made a phone call to his counterpart at mining peer Anglo American and set in motion a flurry of activity designed to create the largest copper producer in the world
Brazilian aluminium supply coming from Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio (CBA) is said to have tightened, helping to boost the P1020A ingot premium, market participants told Fastmarkets in the two weeks to Wednesday April 24
In anticipation of a tight market, copper concentrate traders have locked in 2025 volumes at notably low treatment charges, with deals being placed well below the long-term industry benchmarks