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Fastmarkets Iron Ore Decoded 2026

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17 June 2026
Fastmarkets Iron Ore Decoded 2026

Iron ore markets in 2026 are going through significant changes with new benchmarks launched, a Guinean supply shock reshaping grade spreads, and a Middle East conflict rewriting pellet trade routes overnight.

Fastmarkets Iron Ore Decoded 2026 brings the right people into the same room to cut through the noise, not with presentations, but with frank, senior-level discussion grounded in real market experience.

This is not a conference. There are no standard presentations, no press, and no broad audience. Just senior practitioners, genuine debate based on key talking points, and the intelligence you need to act with confidence in the months ahead.

Here is a summary of the three panel discussions:

Panel 1: The benchmark transition and its implications from different voices
Is the 61% Fe index still fit for purpose? This session examines the commercial, contractual and structural consequences of any benchmark shift across APAC.
 
Panel 2: The Simandou supply shock and grade spread dynamics
With Simandou volumes entering the seaborne market, how does a major new high-grade source reshape grade spread pricing and long-term supply agreements?
 
Panel 3: Looking further: The Middle East conflict and India’s domestic iron ore paradox 
Hormuz disruption has upended pellet routes and opened an opportunistic window for Indian buyers. What does the new flow map mean for suppliers, traders and mills?
 
Panellists and moderators will examine the defining fault lines reshaping global iron ore markets in 2026, from the commercial and contractual consequences of a potential 61% Fe benchmark transition and its structural implications for miners, mills and traders across APAC, to the grade spread disruption triggered by first Simandou volumes entering the seaborne market, and what a major new high-grade supply source means for blending economics and long-term agreements.
 
The discussion will also confront the immediate market reality of Middle East conflict, exploring how the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz has upended established pellet trade routes, accelerated origin-switching decisions, and opened an opportunistic procurement window for Indian buyers, and what the redrawn flow map means for freight economics, delivered price benchmarks, and the risk management strategies of every participant along the value chain.
 

Moderators: To be confirmed
Panellists: To be confirmed

Slots are limited, so register to express your interest in joining our first-ever decoded event early. Only business emails are allowed.


Agenda
View the complete agenda below
Panellists and moderators
Panel 1: The benchmark transition and its implications from different voices 

Damon Buckley

General Manager, Iron Ore and Salt Sales

Rio Tinto

Adult, Female, Person

Alice Li

Senior Price Reporter

Fastmarkets

Gunmeet Singh

Head of Ferrous Origination

Vale

Colin Wang 

China Customer Manager

Cargill Investment

Felix Gallagher

Carbon Modeller, Fastmarkets

Panel 2
The Simandou supply shock and grade spread dynamics

Adele Pan

Price Reporter

Fastmarkets

Face, Happy, Head

Jinshan Xie

DireHead of Macro & Ferrous Analyst

Horizon Insights (SG)

Ethan Hor

Pricing Analyst

Vale

Colin Wang 

China Customer Manager Strategic Customer Team, Metals

Cargill Investment

Felix Gallagher

Carbon Modeller, Fastmarkets

Panel 3
Looking further: The Middle East conflict and India’s domestic iron ore paradox
Photography, Body Part, Finger

Dr Charles Su

Chief Economist

Horizon Insights (CN)

Ethan Hor

Pricing Analyst

Vale

Gunmeet Singh

Head of Ferrous Origination

Vale

Norman Fong

Senior Price Reporter

Fastmarkets

Felix Gallagher

Carbon Modeller, Fastmarkets

About Fastmarkets
Fastmarkets is a leading, IOSCO-compliant price reporting agency providing trusted benchmarks, news, and analytics for global metals, mining, and recycling markets. With over 130 years of experience, it delivers over 900 price points for base metals, steel, battery materials, and ores. Its expertise helps professionals manage volatility and make strategic decisions.

Our experts for Fastmarkets Iron Ore Decoded 2026 include:
Paul Lim

Paul Lim
Managing Editor

Paul Lim is the Regional Managing Editor at Fastmarkets, where he leads a team of analysts and price reporters across Asia covering the ferrous scrap, steel, and raw materials markets. He has worked to develop insightful content about Asia's ferrous markets, including covering the rise of ferrous scrap in the region and shifting trade flows. Paul is a prominent voice on topics ranging from iron ore pricing dynamics to the decarbonisation of the steel industry, and has served as a moderator and speaker at major industry events such as the Singapore Iron Ore Forum.

Paul's expertise and editorial contributions have earned him significant recognition in the commodities journalism space. He is a Worldsteel Journalist of the Year, one of the most prestigious accolades in steel industry reporting. Upon receiving the award, he noted that his team's work reflects a deep commitment to providing subscribers with unique perspectives and the latest prices on the fast-moving ferrous complex.

He holds academic credentials from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) in Singapore, and brings a strong blend of market intelligence, editorial leadership, and industry relationships to his role at Fastmarkets.

Norman Fong
Senior Price Reporter

Norman Fong is a Senior Price Reporter at Fastmarkets, specialising in Asia steelmaking and raw materials. Based in Singapore, he covers key commodity segments including high-grade iron ore, pellet feed, and DR-grade pellets, delivering the price assessments and market intelligence that traders, mills, and industry participants rely on for decision-making.

Prior to his current role, Norman was working at Argus Media, building a solid foundation in bitumen price reporting before joining Fastmarkets.

Norman is a Summa cum Laude recipient from Singapore Management University, graduating in 2021 with a Double Major in Political Science and Public Policy & Public Administration. 

At Fastmarkets, he plays an integral role in maintaining the accuracy and transparency of price data that underpins one of the world's most active commodity markets. Norman specialises in the trade flows in the high-grade iron ore supply chain providing insights to the exciting domain of green iron ore and its role in low-carbon steelmaking. 

Adult, Female, Person

Alice Li
Senior Price Reporter

Alice Li is a Senior Price Reporter at Fastmarkets, based in China, where she specialises in iron ore and steelmaking raw materials across Asia. She brings a demonstrated history of working in the metals and mining sector, covering key price benchmarks that are central to the global iron ore trade. Her reporting spans a wide range of indices, including iron ore fines, concentrates, pellets, and pellet feed, and she plays a leading role in maintaining the integrity of Fastmarkets' iron ore price assessments in compliance with IOSCO principles for Price Reporting Agencies.

Beyond daily price reporting, Alice is also deeply involved in the methodological side of commodity pricing. She leads Fastmarkets' annual methodology review consultations for its iron ore indices, engaging with market participants to ensure that pricing methodologies continue to reflect the physical market under indexation.

She has covered major market themes including high-grade iron ore premiums, post-holiday restocking trends, and the outlook for steelmaking raw materials, making her a trusted source of insight for traders, mills, and investors operating in the Asia ferrous complex.

Zheng Shu Yi
Price Reporter

Zheng Shu Yi is a Price Reporter at Fastmarkets, specialising in Asia steelmaking raw materials. Based in Singapore and educated at the National University of Singapore, she covers iron ore pricing across a range of indices, including high-grade pellet feed, concentrates, and seaborne fines. She is a core member of Fastmarkets' Asia iron ore team, working closely alongside colleagues Paul Lim, Alice Li, Adele Pan and Norman Fong to deliver daily price assessments and market intelligence to subscribers across the global ferrous complex. Her reporting also extends to broader themes shaping the steel industry, including China's evolving grade preferences and the decarbonisation of steelmaking.

Beyond price reporting, Shu Yi has played an active role in developing new benchmarks for the market. She worked on the launch of a standalone premium differential index reflecting the average premium difference between magnetite and hematite materials in the 67.5% Fe pellet feed index, responding to growing demand from market participants for greater pricing transparency.

She also was part of the core team that launched new indices, such as the 61% Fe fines CFR Qingdao index, designed to track and reflect the spot price of mid-grade fines in line with the latest quality of materials commonly traded in the market. Her work reflects a strong commitment to methodological rigour and market responsiveness at one of the world's leading price reporting agencies.

Adele Pan
Price Reporter

Adele Pan is a Price Reporter at Fastmarkets, based in China, where she focuses on iron ore and steelmaking raw materials. She brings experience from previous roles at Mysteel, and Shanghai Metals Market, giving her a strong grounding in Chinese ferrous markets before joining Fastmarkets. At Mysteel, she worked as an English editor covering stainless steel and nickel-chromium markets with a focus on global trade insights, a background that has equipped her with deep familiarity with China's metals landscape and its connections to international trade flows.

At Fastmarkets, Adele plays an important role within the Asia iron ore team, covering key indices including the 61% and 62% Fe fines benchmarks as well as the 62% Fe port stock index.

She holds a Bachelor's degree in Business English from Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce, and her bilingual capabilities make her a valuable bridge between Chinese market participants and the global commodities community. Her work supports Fastmarkets' commitment to delivering transparent, IOSCO-compliant price data to subscribers across the ferrous complex.

About Horizon Insights
Horizon Insights is China's largest independent investment research house, specialising in global macro and commodities research. For commodities, our coverage includes ferrous metals, base metals, rubber, energy and petrochemicals. Our research methodology stems from a macro top-down approach, where we analyse fundamentals, market sentiments and macro events, to provide a clear directional view to our clients. Some of our notable clients include: Glencore, Cargill, and Baosteel, as well as top financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs, Citadel, Balyasny, and Millennium.
 
Our value propositions include:
1. We view commodities trend from the perspective of global macro and asset allocation perspective.
2. We track the interaction between macro drivers and commodities fundamentals closely.
3. We study the relationship between expectations of balance sheet developments and prices.
4. We use quant tools and scenario deduction to find the range of commodities prices.

Our experts from Horizon Insights include:
Photography, Body Part, Finger

Dr Charles Su
Chief Economist (CN)

Dr Su has over two decades of extensive macroeconomic research experience.

Prior to joining Horizon Insights, he served as Managing Director of Global Market Research at China Industrial Bank Research Institute and as Managing Director & Chief China Economist at CEBM Group.

He holds a Ph.D. in Systems Engineering from Boston University and was a postdoctoral research fellow at the University of Maryland from 2004 to 2005.

Face, Happy, Head

Jinshan Xie
Head of Macro & Ferrous Analyst (SG)

Jinshan specialises in ferrous commodities research, with a primary focus on in-depth analysis of China’s steel and raw material market. She brings 10 years of dedicated research experience in Chinese macroeconomics and cross-commodities research.

Combining macro and micro perspectives, she has delivered strategic guidance and actionable intelligence to leading global funds, industry institutions, and investment banks.

Jinshan is deeply involved in the industrial chain, closely connected with domestic and international mining companies, steel mills, and traders. She has a profound understanding of the entire trade process and fundamental research.

She holds a B.A from Singapore Management University. 


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• FastMarkets and more