Impact of E-commerce on North American Paper Packaging Markets

Will paper packaging demand keep booming along with online retail growth, or will the "e-commerce boost" weaken in coming years? This study – the first of its kind available from any source – is an exhaustive analysis of how North American e-commerce shapes the corrugated packaging space.

The e-commerce/mail order retail sector uses 7 times as many boxes per dollar spent, compared to traditional brick-and-mortar retail logistics. But even as e-commerce spending keeps rising, containerboard demand growth slowed in the first half of 2019. Should the containerboard industry prepare for a weaker “e-commerce boost” going forward?

Prepare for any contingency with the Impact of E-commerce on North American Paper Packaging Markets. This first-ever study of this timely topic provides:

Essentials about e-commerce’s impact on corrugated packaging
  • Detailed breakouts of spending by merchandise type
  • Historical data showing impact on North American containerboard and corrugated box markets, broken out into retail and wholesale
  • E-commerce market statistics that are most relevant for packaging
27 risk scenarios to help model the future of the market
  • Forecasts of e-commerce for both the US and Canada, modeling three different scenarios for the evolution of three key variables:
    • Economic conditions
    • E-commerce/mail order share of relevant retail spending
    • Correlation of e-commerce and packaging demand
      • Along with presenting three different scenarios for each of these factors, the Impact of E-commerce on North American Paper Packaging Markets supports comparative analysis among them. This enables the analysis of 27 different risk scenarios for the future of the containerboard market in North America – a powerful analytical tool that can’t be found anywhere else.
E-commerce giants are working to use less corrugatedThe intensity of box usage per dollar of retail spending has increased in recent years, mostly due to the growth of e-commerce. However, this relationship – of growing online sales supporting growing box-usage intensity – is likely to deteriorate going forward.

Slowing growth, alternative packaging materials, and other threatsCurrent trends that threaten containerboard demand growth include:

  • Overbox reduction
  • Primary packaging redesign
  • On-site custom box conversion
  • Corrugated alternatives such as plastic mailers
  • Retail store fulfillment
The Impact of E-commerce on North American Paper Packaging Markets provides expert evaluation of these trends – backed by the most exhaustive data and analysis available from any source.


Request more information


What’s happening in the forest products market today?

Get the latest market insights from our team of forest products experts

The plans are subject to approval by the board of directors in mid-2026, alongside additional investments for infrastructure and port terminal development

Softwood fluff prices had a historic price run globally in 2022, before registering a steady decline from mid-2022 through the third quarter of 2023. The effective list price of fluff in Europe and North America dropped from a peak of $2,230 per tonne in July 2022 to $1,710 per tonne in September 2023. Similarly, the […]

This consultation, which is open until May 23, 2024, seeks to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the physical market under indexation, in compliance with the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) principles for Price Reporting Agencies (PRAs). This includes all elements of our pricing process, our price specifications and publication frequency. You can […]

This consultation, which is open until May 26, 2024, seeks to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the physical market under indexation, in compliance with the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) principles for Price Reporting Agencies (PRAs). This includes all elements of our pricing process, our price specifications, and publication frequency. You can […]

This consultation, which is open until May 26, 2024, seeks to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the physical market under indexation, in compliance with the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) principles for Price Reporting Agencies (PRAs). This includes all elements of our pricing process, our price specifications, and publication frequency. You can […]

This consultation, which is open until May 23, 2024, seeks to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the physical market under indexation, in compliance with the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) Principles for Price Reporting Agencies (PRAs). This includes all elements of our pricing process, our price specifications and publication frequency. Fastmarkets FOEX […]

After a consultation period that began on February 19, 2024, and ended on March 21 2024, Fastmarkets has discontinued Region 4 log prices. The last assessment published March 2024.  To provide feedback on this or if you would like to provide price information by becoming a data submitter to Log Lines, please contact William Perritt […]

Read more about our recent IOSCO assurance review

Both NBSK pulp and BEK pulp prices jumped up in March, with more price hikes announced

This consultation, which is open until May 16, 2024, seeks to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the physical graphic paper market, in compliance with the International Organization of Securities Commissions’ (IOSCO) Principles for Price Reporting Agencies (PRAs). This includes all elements of our pricing process, our price specifications and publication frequency. Fastmarkets FOEX […]