What stories and events passed over the screen of Metal Bulletin editor Alex Harrison in the past week?
The rout in copper that began on Friday March 7 continued the following week on selling that originated in China, sparked by the default of a small solar cell manufacturer – the first such corporate default in the country, fears about demand, and parallel selling in iron ore and rebar.
The arbitrage window for the red metal as tracked by Metal Bulletin, negative for all but a small part of this year, moved out to beyond minus $200, reflecting the weakness of sentiment about China.
Against the backdrop of fast-falling copper prices, in an excellent interview and presentation at Metal Bulletin’s copper conference in Milan Citrine Capital partner Andreas Hommert explained how the depreciating yuan and the negative arbitrage could lead to Chinese smelters exporting cathode.
Traders would rather have been in front of their screens and active in the market as the biggest move in years took place. Find out what else we learned.
(Incidentally, at around the same time Charles Li, ceo of Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, told a conference in Florida that China “does not have pricing power, it does not have international influence, it does not have international benchmarks”. )
The collapse in copper prices could cause big knock-on effects in the market for concentrates.
Metal Bulletin launched a copper concentrates treatment and refining charge (TC/RC) index, the first of its kind, at the conference.
Copper TC/RCs as indexed by Metal Bulletin fell on March 14: find out why.
… or sign up for a price history.
Copper prices suffered. But nickel prices gained as the market finally came to grips with the effects of the Indonesian ore ban and stronger demand from the stainless steel industry. Premiums for briquettes particularly rose strongly.
This interview from February now looks prescient.
The Indonesian government is considering a regulation to require tin solders to be traded on the Indonesian Commodity & Derivatives Exchange before export in a bid to remove a loophole enabling tin units in solders to be exported in place of ingot, which must already be traded on the exchange.
Cadmium traders have turned their attention to India as a result of a fall in demand in China, the world’s largest consumer.
Carlyle Group and affiliates of Louis M Bacon, the founder and ceo of Moore Capital, took a majority stake in trading company Traxys. Management of Traxys also increased their investment stake in the Luxembourg-headquartered firm.
The London Metal Exchange may introduce market-makers to boost liquidity in new contracts, ceo Garry Jones told Metal Bulletin in an interview.
BHP Billiton channelled Ebay in its marketing business. Find out how here.
Alex Harrison
aharrison@metalbulletin.com
Twitter: @alexharrison_mb
