NON-FERROUS WEEK IN BRIEF: Nickel prices fall; copper TC/RCs dip; China bauxite imports; Recycled Al conference; Mn ore market structure; tungsten prices rise

Metal Bulletin rounds up some of the key news and price moves from the past week in the non-ferrous metals markets.

Metal Bulletin rounds up some of the key news and price moves from the past week in the non-ferrous metals markets.

Base metals
Nickel prices trading on the London Metal Exchange were buoyed by optimism over electric vehicles (EVs) during LME Week, but the industry must tackle the ever-present warehouse stockpiles before the lithium-ion battery raw material can mirror the success of cobalt, Lord Copper argues.

Over November, nickel prices rose to $13,000 per tonne before falling by 16% in just two weeks when soaring sentiment over potential EV demand died down.

China’s monthly refined zinc output reached a historic high in October when smelters were operating close to full capacity to cash in on the zinc price rally, an analyst said.

Spot copper concentrate treatment and refining charges (TCs/RCs) dropped by 3.7% in the first half of November, as trade buying at lower levels outweighed smelter stockpiling in illiquid conditions.

In news from the America Copper Council (ACC) autumn meeting, the freight and transportation sectors in the United States are in the middle of a “perfect storm” that is creating persistent problems for road haulage, a senior representative of transportation and supply chain management firm Ryder System said.

US copper market participants are broadly expected to roll over the terms for 2018 physical contracts when they hold talks during the ACC autumn meeting. You can read more the quotes from market participants at ACC this week here.

China’s supply-side reform policies, such as illegal capacity cuts, have guided the country’s aluminum industry this year, the vice chairman of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association (CNIA) said at the China Aluminum Forum in Fuzhou on November 15.

Weaker prices for seaborne bauxite and depleting domestic reserves of the ore will support the continued strength of China’s bauxite imports in the long term, according to BMI Research.

India is looking to address the large amounts of aluminum scrap it imports each year by trying to process more material domestically, Metco Marketing India’s managing director Dhawal Shah told delegates at Metal Bulletin’s 25th Recycled Aluminium conference in Warsaw.

Also at the Recycled Aluminium conference, Michael Boyle, Alcoa’s director of metal management, told delegates that Alcoa’s decision to partially restart the Warrick aluminum smelter in the US state of Indiana will increase the company’s need to supplement the on-site rolling mill with scrap.

See this week’s base metals premium table here.

Ores, alloys
In the manganese ore market, strong demand from China’s domestic steel market has facilitated a change in spot contract terms in the 37% manganese ore market in the past two years, with deals now increasingly concluded on a cif China basis, according to data collected by Metal Bulletin over recent years.

Citibank expects a steep drop in high-grade manganese ore prices by the end of next year, as it maintains its bearish view on the steelmaking raw material in the medium to long term.

Plans for a sale or listing of the Tshipi manganese mine have been canceled and its owner, Jupiter Mines, is considering similar options for its own future.

And Chinese tungsten prices staged a turnaround this week, amid low availability of concentrates.

And looking further ahead, China’s Environment Tax Law, to take effect from January 1, 2018, will add as much as 2,000 yuan ($301) per tonne to ammonium paratungstate costs.

Minor metals
Indium prices started to surrender some of their recent gains this week in China as investors retreated from the market.

Chinese cobalt prices, meanwhile, were buoyed by weakened spot availability, narrowing the premium charged for imported cargoes.
 

What to read next
Capital is flowing back into junior mining, but selectively. Investment is increasingly favouring development‑stage assets with clearer paths to production, supported by government funding and strategic partnerships. While demand for critical minerals underpins the cycle, early‑stage explorers continue to struggle for capital as investors prioritise discipline, ESG alignment and near‑term cash flow.
Copper in concentrate production from Ivanhoe Mines' Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) fell to 61,906 tonnes in the first quarter, down by 54% from 133,120 tonnes a year earlier, with the company now evaluating local third-party concentrate purchases to advance the ramp-up of its on-site smelter, according to an April 13 production release as the market focused its attention on the impact of global sulfuric acid shortages during CESCO Week in Chile from April 13-17.
China's planned sulfuric acid export ban from May 1, historic lows for copper concentrates treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) and a fragmenting 2026 benchmark system dominated CESCO Week 2026 in Santiago from April 13-17.
The proposal would align the index more closely with physically traded volumes in the region, and enable it to adjust to evolving market conditions. This proposal follows an observed widening of the spread between trader and smelter purchase components of the index and is aligned with a majority of market feedback. Additionally, Fastmarkets seeks feedback […]
Until now, aluminium has been hard to move, not hard to find. Global aluminium supply had remained technically intact, even as output was curtailed in parts of the Gulf, inventory buffers were drawn down or repositioned, and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was severely disrupted.
Global aluminium producers face heightened uncertainty over power supplies, with oil and gas prices elevated by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which around 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) flows, sources told Fastmarkets.