Chinese HRC prices rise on improved trading

China’s hot-rolled coil steel prices increased on Tuesday March 28, with domestic trading improving from the previous week, traders told Fastmarkets

Domestic

Fastmarkets’ price assessment for steel hot-rolled coil domestic, ex-whs Eastern China (Shanghai) was 4,300 yuan ($625) per tonne on Tuesday, up by 20 yuan per tonne from 4,280 yuan per tonne March 27.

The value of the most-traded May HRC futures contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose after falling to an intraday low of 4,209 yuan per tonne during Monday’s night trading.

A trader in eastern China attributed rallies in SHFE HRC and rebar to the extended gains in prices for iron ore.

The value of the most-traded iron ore futures contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose for a third straight trading day on Tuesday and hit a one-week high of 884 yuan per tonne.

Spot HRC trading in eastern China improved from the previous week when industry data indicated a weekly decline in HRC apparent demand. Whether steel demand remains resilient will prove crucial to the market, a trader in northern China added.

Export

Fastmarkets assessed its steel hot-rolled coil index export, fob main port China at $629 per tonne on Tuesday, up by $0.67 per tonne from $628.33 per tonne on Monday.

Chinese mills and trading houses kept their offers for HRC exports virtually unchanged on Tuesday compared with the previous day.

Mills were offering May- and June-shipment SS400-grade HRC at $660-680 per tonne FOB China.

Market participants’ estimates of the costs for sourcing SS400-grade HRC from small mills in northern China held stable at $625-630 per tonne FOB.

In Vietnam, the major market for Chinese HRC exports, offers for China-origin SS400- and Q195-grade HRC were $625-628 per tonne CFR.

Trading for HRC exports has yet shown signs of improvement, with buyers tending to wait and see “for a while” after prices stemmed their decline, a second trader in eastern China said.

Market chatter

“This year’s demand recovery looks unlikely to be consistent. It will weaken for a while following a bout of active trading. If the demand recovery remains stable, the downside in [Chinese] steel prices may be limited. Otherwise, prices would collapse. On the supply side, hot metal output remains high with positive margins encouraging mills to maintain production,” the northern China-based trader said.

Shanghai Futures Exchange

The most-traded May HRC futures contract closed at 4,255 yuan per tonne on Tuesday, up by 30 yuan per tonne from Monday’s close.

What to read next
Lack of standardisation, certifications and market practises is creating growing uncertainty across green steel markets, with implications for pricing, procurement and credibility.
A United Auto Workers (UAW) strike at the American Axle factory in Three Rivers, Michigan, that began on Monday June 1 could lead to reduced demand for automotive steel if not resolved quickly, but analysts disagree on whether it will ultimately have a significant impact.
The newly signed Mexico-EU (EU) trade deal could signal a shift in steel trade toward the EU, but Mexican steelmakers will still prefer trade within North America, a steel producer told Fastmarkets.
USMCA-driven localization is strengthening automotive supply chains, improving resilience and reducing certain cost risks. But as production spans multiple stages across the US–Mexico corridor, OEMs need clearer visibility into how costs build across regions to maintain margin control.
Under the change, Fastmarkets will update the normalization coefficient for its Iron ore 61% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao and Iron ore 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao indices on a daily basis, from Tuesday. This allows the coefficient to better reflect daily price movements. The normalization coefficient was previously updated on a monthly basis. The decision […]
European buyers were still seeking Ukrainian steel despite the recent rollout of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, but constraints on production during wartime were preventing mills from fulfilling the demand, the industry said.