Nordic timber industry faces cost pressures and market volatility in H1 2025

Explore the latest trends in Nordic timber as companies navigate profitability challenges in the forest industry.

Key takeaways:

  • Six of the major Nordic timber and forest industry companies posted largely challenging results for H1 2025
  • Most companies reported declining profitability despite mixed sales performances
  • Elevated raw materials costs, global trade uncertainties and currency volatility created significant headwinds across the sector

Strong performers show resilience despite sector-wide pressures

Finland’s Koskisen Corporation, whose main business is in sawn timber and panels, maintained its position as the strongest performer with remarkable growth, achieving a 24.3% year-on-year increase in revenue to €176.0 million ($205.5 million) and adjusted EBITDA rising 33.2% to €19.8 million. The company’s sawn timber segment was particularly strong, with revenue growing 47.2% to €96.2 million and EBITDA jumping dramatically to €9.6 million from €2.2 million in the first half of 2024.

Koskisen’s sawmill production reached record levels, and the strategic acquisition of Iisveden Metsä’s business in June expanded sawmill capacity by approximately 35%. “The positive development of the sawn timber industry segment continued,” said chief executive officer Jukka Pahta, though acknowledging that current raw materials prices are “not sustainable from the point of view of the profitability of the industry.”

Sweden’s SCA demonstrated remarkable resilience with net sales increasing 7% to 10.5 billion Swedish krona (€932 million) and maintaining an impressive EBITDA margin of 34.9% at SEK 3.7 billion. The company’s high degree of self-sufficiency in wood raw materials, energy and logistics proved crucial in maintaining strong profitability against rising input costs. SCA’s wood segment delivered particularly robust performance with net sales increasing 24% to SEK 3.2 billion and EBITDA growing 35% to SEK 546 million, supported by higher selling prices and delivery volumes of 1,092,000 cubic meters (up by 19% year-on-year).

The Finnish and Swedish company Stora Enso delivered solid performance with sales increasing approximately 5% and maintaining operational stability despite volatile market conditions. The company reached a major milestone with an agreement to divest approximately 175,000 hectares of forest land (equivalent to 12.4% of total forest holdings in Sweden) for an enterprise value of approximately €900 million.

CEO Hans Sohlström noted: “While market conditions remained challenging, we focused on the areas within our control – enhancing sourcing, operational efficiency, commercial excellence, working capital, and fixed costs.”

What major challenges have hit other key players in the Nordic timber market?

The Swedish company Södra faced the most significant challenges among the six Nordic companies, posting an operating loss of SEK 389 million in the second quarter of 2025 compared to a profit of SEK 398 million in the same quarter last year. Net sales declined 4% to SEK 7.2 billion for the quarter, with results severely impacted by exchange rate effects of over SEK 580 million and scheduled maintenance shutdowns costing approximately SEK 240 million. President and CEO Lotta Lyrå commented: “The second quarter was challenging for Södra. Increased global uncertainty, combined with rapid currency fluctuations and high raw materials prices, has created a triple external effect that puts pressure on our profitability.” In response, Södra initiated a comprehensive action program to strengthen competitiveness and profitability.

Finland’s UPM reported 2025 first-half sales of €5.05 billion (down 3% year-on-year) with comparable EBIT decreasing 20% to €413 million, facing significant adversity from global trade tensions. CEO Massimo Reynaudo explained: “Tariff announcements caused uncertainty in global trade, which weakened demand and the US dollar. These had a negative impact, particularly on the pulp and communication paper businesses.” The company’s advanced materials businesses showed greater resilience, though pulp operations were indirectly impacted by escalating trade tensions, particularly affecting Chinese demand.

Another Finnish forest major, Metsä Group, struggled with a challenging first half, reporting sales of €3.07 billion (up by 4.5% year-on-year) but seeing comparable operating results decline to €44 million from €57 million. President and CEO Jussi Vanhanen noted: “Higher costs – especially higher wood raw materials prices – weakened the profitability of all business operations.” The company has initiated a €300 million cost savings and profit improvement program to address these challenges.

Sawn timber divisions show mixed performance amid challenges

The sawn timber divisions across these Nordic companies demonstrated the sector’s resilience despite significant cost pressures, with most achieving volume growth even as margins came under strain.

Koskisen led the sector with exceptional sawn timber performance, delivering 197,200 cubic meters (up by 41.4% year-on-year) in the first half of 2025. The company’s new sawmill in Järvelä, southern Finland, continued its ramp-up toward the target of 450,000 cubic meters annual capacity, while the June acquisition of Iisveden Metsä added approximately 140,000 cubic meters of annual spruce sawn timber production. Despite challenging market conditions, Koskisen maintained strong customer relationships and benefited from market-specific product concepts, achieving significant improvements in shift-specific production and operational indicators.

Södra’s wood division experienced the most severe challenges, with operating profit collapsing to SEK 3 million from SEK 128 million in the second quarter of 2024. The division was heavily impacted by significantly higher saw log costs, though the company achieved some recovery through higher delivery prices and maintained positive developments in its CLT (cross-laminated timber) business. Despite the weak construction market, Södra’s CLT operations showed increased sales and production, reflecting the growing proportion of timber used in construction applications. SCA’s wood segment delivered robust volume growth with strong operational performance, benefiting from its strategically located sawmills close to forest holdings in Northern Sweden.

Across the sector, several consistent patterns have emerged. High raw materials costs continue to pressure margins universally, with multiple companies stating that current wood prices are unsustainable for long-term industry profitability. Companies with integrated value chains demonstrated significantly greater resilience in this challenging environment.

Global trade tensions and increasing tariffs have created substantial market uncertainty, while currency volatility – particularly the rapid strengthening of SEK against USD – has severely impacted export-oriented operations. Operational efficiency has become a critical focus area for all companies, with many implementing comprehensive cost reduction and competitiveness programs.

Strategic investments made in previous years are beginning to show positive returns, such as UPM’s biochemicals refinery in Leuna, Germany, Stora Enso’s new packaging line in Oulu, Finland, and Koskisen’s new sawmill in Järvelä. However, scheduled maintenance shutdowns have had more significant negative impacts than in previous years, with Södra experiencing approximately SEK 240 million in costs from two major shutdowns.

Market conditions vary significantly by segment and region, with construction sector weakness continuing to affect traditional sawn timber demand, while value-added products and export markets provided some offset. The CLT segment showed particular promise, with both Koskisen and Södra reporting positive developments despite overall market challenges.

What is the industry outlook for Nordic timber?

The industry outlook for the remainder of 2025 remains cautiously managed, with companies focusing on factors within their control rather than expecting external market improvements. The recovery in European construction markets continues to be slower than anticipated, while global trade policy uncertainties are expected to persist.

Companies with integrated value chains, diversified product portfolios, and recent strategic investments appear best positioned to navigate the complex market conditions. However, the sustainability of current wood raw materials pricing levels remains a critical concern across the entire sector.

Interested in learning more? Fastmarkets provides price data, news and forecasting for key commodities across the globe. Speak to one of our experts to find out more.

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