LIVE FUTURES REPORT 18/10:Comex copper falls as market waits for direction

Comex copper prices consolidated into a tight range in the morning of Wednesday October 18 in the USA, with investors eyeing tomorrow's Chinese data GDP release before moving in a new direction.

Copper for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange was down 0.10 cents or 0.1% to $3.1945 per lb. Trade has narrowed to $3.1730-3.2160 per lb.

The red metal initially surged to a three-year high on Monday before succumbing to a bout of profit-taking. Still, investors are waiting on the sidelines for tomorrow’s release of China’s third-quarter GDP.

There are expectations that the world’s largest base metals consumer grew around 7%, which would be a welcoming sign during the Communist Party Congress meeting period.

“We remain bullish for copper’s fundamentals but prices once again appear to have run ahead of the fundamentals, so the market/price is now likely to have to absorb profit-taking and near-term pricing,” Metal Bulletin analyst William Adams said. “We should get a good feel for how bullish underlying sentiment is by seeing where support comes in.”

Comex gold for December settlement fell $2.60 or 0.2% to $1,283.60 per oz.

Currency moves and data releases

  • The US dollar index was recently up 0.08% to 93.56. 
  • In other commodities, the Texas light sweet crude oil spot price rose 0.65% to $52.45 per barrel 
  • In US data, building permits and housing starts in September both disappointed at 1.22 and 1.13 million, respectively.
  • China’s President Xi Jinping gave his opening speech at the 19th Communist Party Congress earlier on October 18, saying China was working toward “socialist modernisation” and that “It is time for [China] to take centre stage in the world and to make a greater contribution to humankind.”
  • ECB board members Mario Draghi, Peter Praet and Benoit Coeure are speaking in Frankfurt and the US Federal Reserve’s William Dudley and Robert Kaplan will also deliver speeches later today.
What to read next
Brazil's aluminium industry is further enhancing its sustainability by boosting renewable energy use and recycling, while mitigating risk from high-carbon imports
German copper producer Aurubis is among the least likely to consider reducing capacity despite record low treatment charges (TCs), according to its chief executive officer
European copper demand, particularly for wire rod, remains strong and seems to be outpacing broader macro-economic growth in the region, the chief executive officer of German producer Aurubis has said.
The process to place the smaller and less efficient of the two processing plants at Los Bronces on care and maintenance is expected to be completed by mid-2024 and comes as the company pushes value over volume, the chief executive officer of Anglo American Chile said
The near-term prospects for Chinese copper smelting capacity amid near-zero treatment charges (TCs) will, to a certain extent, depend on plants’ exposure to spot TCs, the chief executive officer of Rio Tinto’s copper division said on Tuesday, April 16
It will be very difficult for many Chinese copper smelters to compete with treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) at record lows, according to the chairman of Chile’s state-owned copper producer Codelco