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Low-emissions steel is now priced at the intersection of carbon costs, energy spreads and route economics. Premiums clear where those inputs align and move as policy, cost curves and supply pathways change.
Fastmarkets Green Steel Intelligence provides a market reference for green steel pricing and premium direction, anchored to Fastmarkets’ PRA-grade green steel assessments and forward market outlooks.
Market-anchored green steel pricing references
Short-term market direction plus long-range outlooks of price and premium direction
Clarity on where premiums can clear across downstream uses and sectors
Visibility into supply transitions and competitive positioning at the facility level
Route and regional cost context to compare low-emissions pathways
See how prices, premiums, and volumes change under different market conditions
CBAM intelligence suite
EU ETS intelligence
Carbon Markets Intelligence
Regulatory and Country Intelligence
Get the latest news and updates on green steel premiums, CBAM, and EU ETS
A growing number of steelmakers across Latin America have received sustainability certifications and environmental recognitions in recent months, reflecting how the region is increasingly positioning itself within the global transition toward lower-emissions steelmaking – although questions still remain surrounding how commercially scalable and economically sustainable this transition will become.
With decarbonization deadlines fast approaching for corporations and governments increasingly focused on material resilience, ferrous scrap has taken on growing strategic importance in Japan’s transition toward lower-carbon steelmaking.
As US automotive OEMs localize supply chains and accelerate EV rollout, margin pressure is intensifying across steel, aluminium and battery inputs.
Europe’s green steel ambitions were built on affordable hydrogen that hasn’t materialised. Thyssenkrupp and Salzgitter delays, scaled-back supply targets, and a shift to dual-fuel DRI configurations now define the transition.
From EU ETS free allocation phase-out to CBAM transmission and hydrogen cost uncertainty, green steel investment and procurement decisions now hinge on premium durability and cost convergence timing. This report provides scenario-based forecasts across six emissions intensity bands and production routes to support capex, sourcing, and strategy decisions through 2035.
Model premium risk, compare route economics, and stress-test assumptions against policy shifts.
Stuart Evans
Chief Analytics Officer, Fastmarkets
Josh Cowley
Head of Research, Carbon Markets
Shyamal Patel
Head of Modelling, Carbon Markets
Carl Peters
Senior Economist, Fastmarkets
Abhishek Pathak
Economist, Fastmarkets
Explore Fastmarkets’ steel and raw materials pricing, benchmarks, and market coverage, the foundation for understanding green steel premiums.