ASIAN MORNING BRIEF 24/01: Copper prices tumble on LME; series of put options signal surge in LME copper deliveries; US aluminium 232 report delivered

The latest news and price moves to start the Asian day on Wednesday January 24.

The three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange plummeted by more than 2% at the close on Tuesday January 23 after on-warrant stocks hit their highest level since October 20, 2017. Read more in our live futures report.

Here are how prices looked at the end of the day on Tuesday.

A series of put options bought at bearish strike prices served as an indication of potential copper deliveries onto the LME, market sources said after more than 36,000 tonnes of the metal hit LME sheds on Tuesday. LME stocks surged by 17% when updated warehouse stock data showed several large deliveries on the exchange, notably 23,625 tonnes in Busan, South Korea.

Now that US Commerce Department Secretary Wilbur Ross has delivered the long-awaited Section 232 report on the impact of aluminium imports to President Donald Trump, the renewed prospect of trade action could drive prices upward, market participants said.

China, the world’s largest zinc-producing country, produced 6.22 million tonnes of refined zinc in 2017. That’s down 0.7% from the prior year, according to data published by the country’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.

China’s monthly refined copper output reached an all-time high of 865,000 tonnes in December 2017, the NBS also found. This brought full-year production for 2017 to 8.89 million tonnes, up 7.7% year on year from 8.44 million tonnes.

A sustained deficit in the global copper market due to stagnant copper supply is helping to prop up futures prices. But global premiums remain stubbornly docile, foreshadowing a cap on copper prices in the near term.

Metal Bulletin Research topped the base metals leaderboard in the Apex fourth-quarter 2017 contest, with an accuracy rating of 99.35%.

What to read next
Copper's versatile applications and robust demand shape a complex global market outlook for 2024, with stable prices in the US, a mild recovery in China, and weak conditions in Europe, while Q4 forecasts suggest upward price pressure.
Market participants shared insight into the market dynamics for copper, nickel, zinc, lead and tin during LME Week, which ran September 30-October 4
The Western world’s industrial strength is beginning to drop, but Jakob Stausholm, chief executive officer of Rio Tinto, said at a London Metal Exchange seminar that there was “plenty of demand to be unlocked from reindustrialization.”
Demand for zinc was expected to grow by 2030, despite the challenges facing both the supply and demand sides, Andrew Green, executive director of the International Zinc Association, said in an exclusive interview with Fastmarkets during LME Week in London
Fastmarkets is inviting feedback from the industry on the methodology for its audited non-ferrous price assessments and indices, as part of its announced annual methodology review process.
Fastmarkets is inviting feedback from the industry on its pricing methodology and product specifications for non-ferrous materials and industrial minerals, as part of its announced annual methodology review process.