Bearish sentiment grips Asian seaborne coking coal market

The seaborne hard coking coal spot market was mostly quiet on Friday January 17 as buyers sat on the sidelines in anticipation of stronger cues.

Paragraph entered by Atlantic migration, in order for SteelFirst articles to display correctly on Metal Bulletin.

Weak demand and tight credit conditions continued to be cited by market participants as factors hampering trading activity. Bearish sentiment has also held back buying interest.

Steel First’s premium hard coking coal index for material sold on a cfr Jingtang basis edged down to $142.85 per tonne on Friday, a fall of $0.28 per tonne compared with Thursday.

Premium hard coking coal index prices fob Australia’s DBCT port were unchanged at $130.35 per tonne.

The price for hard coking coal stood at $131.62 per tonne cfr Jingtang on Friday, down by $0.51 from Wednesday.

Hard coking coal prices fob Australia were also unchanged, holding steady at $120.33 per tonne.

“I’m not going into the market until this downward trend ends. It’s difficult to say when the market will see a rebound and I’d rather go in when it’s upward-moving,” a trading source told Steel First.

“Yes, I’d probably end up paying more, but I don’t want to take risks in betting on when the market will bottom out,” he added.

The most-traded May coking coal contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange closed at 963 yuan ($158) per tonne on Friday, down by 5 yuan ($1) from Thursday’s close and down by 2.1% from levels seen a week ago.

The most-traded May coke contract closed at 1,375 yuan ($226) per tonne, down by 9 yuan ($2) from the previous day and down by 0.5% from last Friday.

Separately, China’s daily crude steel output went up early this month. According to China Iron & Steel Assn, the country produced 1.997 million tpd of crude steel during the first ten days of January, compared with 1.96 million tpd seen during the last eleven days of December.

A European mill told Steel First that it had concluded February coking coal contract settlements at levels several dollars below Anglo American’s first-quarter 2014 benchmark settlement with Japanese mills of $143 per tonne fob for German Creek material.

What to read next
After a one-month consultation period, Fastmarkets has amended the frequency of its price assessments for MB-MAG-0005 Magnesia, dead burned, 97.5% MgO, lump, fob China, MB-MAG-0002 Magnesia, dead burned, 90% MgO, lump, fob China, MB-MAG-0009 Magnesia, fused, 97% MgO, Ca:Si 2:1, lump, fob China, and MB-MAG-0007 Magnesia, fused, 98% MgO, lump, fob China, to monthly from […]
The publication of Fastmarkets’ molybdenum drummed molybdic oxide – in-whs Busan, MB-FEO-0004, and in-whs Rotterdam, MB-FEO-0003 – and ferro-molybdenum 65% Mo min, in-whs Rotterdam, MB-FEO-0001, price assessments were delayed because of slow data processing on Friday May 23. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated. The publication of these prices was delayed for 12 minutes. The […]
This price assessment aims to enhance transparency in the Indonesian coke market. Fastmarkets has observed a significant volume of Indonesian coke entering the global market in recent months, establishing Indonesia as a key exporter of coke worldwide since 2023. In the first seven months of 2024, Poland, China and Indonesia were the top three coke exporters globally.  […]
The MB-AL-0408 aluminium low-carbon differential P1020A, cif Mexico was published at 3:02pm London time on May 20 instead of the scheduled time of 3-4pm on May 27. The erroneous price has been removed from Fastmarkets’ pricing database. The price will next be published on May 27 at its usual time. This price is a part of the Fastmarkets […]
The US trade roller coaster ride seems to be flattening, with signs of potential moderation and stability. It appears increasingly likely that our original expectation that the US Trump administration would primarily use the threat of tariffs as a negotiating strategy will be correct. While we do not expect to the US tariff position return to pre-2025 levels, we believe the overall US tariff burden is more likely to settle at around 10-30% globally rather than the elevated rates of 50-100% that seemed possible in recent weeks.
To increase transparency, Fastmarkets has further clarified how it handles price movements during periods of low liquidity. Factors that Fastmarkets may consider during times of low liquidity include, but are not limited to: market fundamentals such as changes in inventory levels, shipments, operating rates and export volumes; relative fundamentals of similar commodities in the same […]