EUROPEAN MORNING BRIEF 09/05: Stronger dollar sinks SHFE base metals prices; non-ferrous scrap facing ‘seismic shift’; murky outlook for copper market

Good morning from Metal Bulletin’s offices in Asia as we bring you the latest news and pricing stories on Wednesday May 9.

Base metals prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were down across the board during Asian morning trading on Wednesday, dragged lower by the stronger dollar. Zinc prices, trading little changed to weaker, were the most resilient of the complex.

Check Metal Bulletin’s live futures report here

LME snapshot at 04.17am London time
Latest three-month LME Prices
  Price ($ per tonne) Change since previous session’s close ($)
Copper 6,810 -65
Aluminium 2,370 -12
Lead 2,310 -21.5
Zinc 3,089 28.5
Tin 20,990 65
Nickel 13,870 -15

SHFE snapshot at 11.33am Shanghai time
Most-traded SHFE contracts
  Price (yuan per tonne) Change since previous session’s close (yuan)
Copper (July) 51,090 -280
Aluminium (July) 14,665 -90
Zinc (July) 23,810 -5
Lead (June) 18,910 -45
Tin  (Sept) 145,540 -650
Nickel  (July) 103,850 -1,310

Global scrap trade is undergoing a period of monumental change, with drastic shifts in China’s recycling policies altering trade flows, according to the Bureau of International Recycling.

The copper industry’s currently bearish environment can be chalked up to five factors, according to one analyst, pointing to a drop in manufacturing growth from its peak at the end of 2017, increased interest rates globally, a stronger dollar, the perception of a loose market and the United States’ introduction of Section 232 steel and aluminium.

Aluminium scrap market participants in the US are shifting to the sidelines and cautiously watching how China’s suspension of its North American customs inspection division will impact US scrap prices.

Earnings at Chilean long steel and iron ore producer Compañía de Acero del Pacífico (CAP) dropped by 19.40% year on year in the first quarter of 2018, amid a reduction iron ore volumes and prices.

Chinese ferro-silicon prices were stable last week, but shortened supply and more active trading suggest an uptick in pricing ahead.

And finally, click here to view the ferro-tungsten and ammonium paratungstate (APT) transactions, bids, offers and assessments in Europe, Vietnam and China, with blue tungsten oxide (BTO) and yellow tungsten oxide (YTO) deals.

What to read next
The global copper market has finally received the widely anticipated news that imports to the US will be tariffed from August 1. The finer details of the tariffs, including their scope, and whether key copper-exporting nations like Chile, Canada and Peru will be exempt, remain unclear.
LME copper prices took a significant hit following US President Donald Trump's announcement of a potential 50% tariff on copper imports. The uncertainty surrounding the timeline and implementation of the tariff has left market participants hesitant, with analysts noting its immediate impact on price momentum and trading activity.
Fastmarkets has launched MB-AL-0424 Aluminium P1020A premium, fob Indonesia, $/tonne on July 9 due to an expected increase in Indonesia-origin aluminium exports. MB-AL-0424 Aluminium P1020A premium, fob Indonesia, $/tonneQuality: P1020A or 99.7 % Minimum Al purity (Si 0.10% max, Fe 0.20% max) in line with LME specifications. Ingot, T-bar, sowQuantity: Min 500 tonnesLocation: FOB IndonesiaTiming: […]
To increase the transparency of our methodology, Fastmarkets clarifies that the quotation period of the MHP nickel payable indicator is the month of delivery, or the month M. Any data points Fastmarkets received otherwise will be normalized to the M month based on the monthly spreads of the prevailing exchange-traded Class-1 nickel reference price, or […]
'Probably miscalculated’ assumptions at Kakula mine force Ivanhoe to overhaul entire Kamoa-Kakula complex, explains CEO Marna Cloete.
Following an initial consultation with the market, Fastmarkets is proposing to:  The new specifications would be as follows, with amendments in italics: MB-CU-0002 Copper grade 1 cathode premium, ddp Midwest US, US cents/lb Quality: Grade A 99.9935% min copper cathode conforming to LME specifications BS EN 1978:2022 – Cu-CATH-1 or Grade 1 Electrolytic Copper Cathode ATSM B1115-10 Quantity: Min […]