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Fastmarkets’ soybean oil futures forecast
October 2, 2023
By
the Fastmarkets team
Soy
What to read next
Iran conflict disrupts agricultural commodity flows; South American soymeal washouts reported
The war between Israel, the United States and Iran is already affecting the flow of agricultural commodities from South America to Iran, particularly feed, with some soymeal cargoes said to have been washed out, market sources told Fastmarkets in the week to Thursday March 5.
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Indian vegetable oil buyers are awaiting further details of a recently announced India-US trade deal, in which India is expected to reduce tariffs on certain US goods, including imports of soybean oil.
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Fastmarkets’ weekly recap of the main movements in global cash markets.
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US soybean oil prices stall amid biofuel policy, 45Z uncertainty: 2026 preview
The year of 2025 was one of uncertainty for the US vegetable oil market, with unresolved federal biofuel and tax policies sparking major shifts in supply and demand.
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By Amanda Luhavalja
Ukraine sunflower oil exports: Broadly stable month on month in December; YTD down 19%
Ukraine exported 420,200 tonnes of sunflower oil in December 2025, up 3% from 409,300 tonnes in November, according to preliminary customs-based data compiled by the Ukroliyaprom Association.
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By Yana Suharskaya
Correction to crush margin China soy Brazil M1 and US Gulf M1 for February, April-September and October 31, 2025
Fastmarkets has corrected its AG-SYB-0078 Crush Margin China Soy (Brazil) M1 Yuan/mt and AG-SYB-0079 Crush Margin China Soy (US Gulf) M1 Yuan/mt, which had all forward curve months published incorrectly in February, and between April and September.
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·
By Fastmarkets pricing team