HOTLINE: Goldman hits the reset button on zinc, copper longs at LME

After recording 17.3% losses on its recommendation to buy June 2012 LME copper, Goldman Sachs has ‘reset’ its long call on the market at the December 19 price of $7,274 per tonne.

After recording 17.3% losses on a recommendation to buy June 2012 LME copper, Goldman Sachs has ‘reset’ its long call on the market at the December 19 price of $7,274 per tonne.

It also remains bullish on zinc despite seeing its original recommendation post a 13.6% loss, and encouraged its clients to buy the June contract at $1,891 per tonne.

“While we maintain our bullish views on copper and zinc into 2012, we are closing out our May 23 recommendations for these metals at a considerable loss, and resetting the recommendations at December 19 prices,” Goldman said in its latest note.

With Goldman’s proprietary trading desk now closed, Hotline assumes the bank means that it is closing out its recommendations at a considerable loss to clients who have followed its advice.

Hotline asked earlier this year whether Goldman’s calls were driving base metal price moves, but after months of steadfast bullishness – in the face of a potential meltdown in Europe and falling demand across the globe – there are indications that the bank’s influence on the market is not what it once was.

“They’ve been bullish for about ten years now haven’t they?” one broker asked, on hearing of their continued optimism.

“I do feel some empathy for what they’re trying to do, but their influence on the market is probably on the wane,” he said.

There is still a bullish case to be made for copper and zinc, but Hotline would be surprised to find many Goldman clients still listening to such arguments with anything resembling empathy.

“Amazing! They’re resetting! I wish we all had a reset button,” one incredulous investor commented. 

 

What to read next
The low-carbon aluminium differential in the US made its first move on Friday April 5 since Fastmarkets launched it five months ago.
Brazil's aluminium industry is further enhancing its sustainability by boosting renewable energy use and recycling, while mitigating risk from high-carbon imports
German copper producer Aurubis is among the least likely to consider reducing capacity despite record low treatment charges (TCs), according to its chief executive officer
European copper demand, particularly for wire rod, remains strong and seems to be outpacing broader macro-economic growth in the region, the chief executive officer of German producer Aurubis has said.
The process to place the smaller and less efficient of the two processing plants at Los Bronces on care and maintenance is expected to be completed by mid-2024 and comes as the company pushes value over volume, the chief executive officer of Anglo American Chile said
The near-term prospects for Chinese copper smelting capacity amid near-zero treatment charges (TCs) will, to a certain extent, depend on plants’ exposure to spot TCs, the chief executive officer of Rio Tinto’s copper division said on Tuesday, April 16