HRC index remains above $62/cwt in US

Hot-rolled coil prices in the United States dipped day on day, but remain high due to an ongoing supply shortage and strong demand.

Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, fob mill US was calculated at $62.35 per hundredweight ($1,247 per short ton) on Wednesday March 3, down by 0.54% from $62.69 per cwt on Tuesday but still up by 1.48% from $61.44 per cwt on February 24.

Inputs were received across all three sub-indices in a range of $60.00-62.50 per cwt. Non-transactional inputs were rolled into the distributor sub-index at the assessor’s discretion to minimize day-to-day volatility.

Heard in the market
Some buyers believe that HRC prices still have room to grow due to difficulties obtaining spot tons with April or May shipment dates. Steel mills still have not caught up on shipments, they said.

Plus, scrap prices are poised to increase this month, lending further support to HRC prices, sources said.

But some market participants are beginning to cast doubt on how much steam is left in this price rally. They fear that the market could peak soon, with the expectation that prices could begin to drop in May.

That has made it difficult to sell imports for July and August arrival times, some said. Import offers seem to be drying up recently, they noted.

Quote of the day
“I don’t think HRC is still rocketing up,” a buyer source said. “The price increases have seemed to slow down and we may be at the peak after April’s books close, but I think pricing will stay high for a while until more supply opens up.”

Dom Yanchunas in New York contributed to this report.

What to read next
Five factors shaping the coking coal market: China, India, geopolitics, and their global trade impact by 2025
2025 global steel market preview: 10 key themes shaping steel and ferro-alloys, from growth to decarbonization and protectionism.
Fastmarkets has corrected its assessment of AG-SYB-0066 Soymeal, Hi Pro, fob Central Illinois, $/tonne, which was published incorrectly on December 18, 2024.
Here are the key takeaways from market participants on US ferrous scrap metal prices, market confidence, inventory and more from our January survey.
Fastmarkets proposes to discontinue its MB-PB-0097 lead 99.97% ingot warrant premium, in-whs US price assessment.
After a 2024 marked by calls for trade defense measures against “predatory and unfair” imports, the Latin American steel sector should see a rise in such measures in 2025, industry experts told Fastmarkets.