LIVE FUTURES REPORT 03/01: SHFE zinc prices follow LME higher; copper falls

Zinc prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) were well-supported by falling overseas stock levels in Asian morning trading on Wednesday January 3, while copper pared overnight gains.

The most-traded February zinc contract rose 80 yuan ($12) per tonne as of 10:02am Shanghai time to 25,930 yuan per tonne after the three-month zinc price on the LME on Tuesday hit a historical high of $3,352 per tonne on falling inventories.

LME zinc stocks on Tuesday were down 1,075 tonnes to 180,975 tonnes from December 29.

Zinc inventories on the SHFE also fell last week. Zinc stocks fell by 125 tonnes as of December 29 from a week earlier to 70,436 tonnes.

Copper prices on the SHFE pared overnight gains amid a slow start to trade on physical markets. Metal Bulletin assessed in-warehouse Shanghai copper premiums at $70-80 per tonne on Tuesday January 2, compared with $70-85 per tonne a week ago. CIF Shanghai copper premiums were down to $65-78 per tonne, compared with $68-80 per tonne the previous week.

The most-traded February copper contract was down 340 yuan to 54,910 yuan per tonne.

The US dollar index on Wednesday morning was up 0.06 to 91.89 on strong economic data released overnight.

The US manufacturing PMI for December indicated the strongest manufacturing growth since March 2015.

“US manufacturers ended 2017 on a high. Output growth accelerated to its fastest since the start of the year on the back of a marked upswing in demand as the year came to a close,” Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit said.

Nickel and tin down, aluminium and lead rise 

  • The SHFE February aluminum contract was up 5 yuan to 15,080 yuan per tonne.
  • The SHFE February lead contract rose 340 yuan per tonne to 19,360 yuan per tonne.
  • The SHFE January nickel contract was down 270 yuan per tonne to 98,900 yuan per tonne.
  • The SHFE January tin contract was down 1,000 yuan per tonne to 144,940 yuan per tonne.

Currency moves and data releases

  • In other commodities, the Brent crude oil spot price was up $0.09 at to $66.57 per barrel and the Texas light sweet crude oil spot price was down $0.01 at $60.41 per barrel.
  • In equities, the Shanghai Composite was up 0.77% to 3374.26.
  • In data, the market will be keeping its eyes on FOMC minutes due tonight, as well as Spanish and German unemployment figures and the US ISM manufacturing PMI number.
LME snapshot at 0202 London time
Latest 3M  LME Prices
  Price ($/t)  Change since yesterday’s close ($)
Copper 7200

-16.5

Aluminium

2256

-9

Lead

2558.5

0.5

Zinc

3339

-8

Tin

19920

85

Nickel

12570

-85

SHFE snapshot at 0202 Shanghai time
Most traded SHFE contracts
  Price (yuan/t)  Change since yesterday’s close (yuan)
Copper (Feb) 54910

-340

Aluminium (Feb)

15080

5

Zinc (Feb)

25930

80

Lead (Feb)

19360

340

Tin (May)

144940

-1000

Nickel (May)

98900

-270

Changjiang spot snapshot on January 3
  Range (yuan/t)  Change (yuan)
Copper  54,690—54,710 -550
Aluminium 14,600—14,640 -90
Zinc 25,670—25,720 70
Lead 18,950—19,150 -150
Tin  143,000—144,500 2000
Nickel  97,550—98,050 1400