LIVE FUTURES REPORT 05/10: Comex copper surges after Chilean earthquake

Comex copper prices surged to a three-week high Thursday October 5 morning in the US, after a Chilean earthquake spurred a major round of buying.

Copper for December settlement on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange jumped 6.70 cents or 2.3% to $3.0260 per lb. Earlier today, the contract hit $3.0295, its highest since September 13.

Base metals have experienced little price fluctuation throughout the week with Chinese market participants sidelined due to an extended holiday session.

“The news of the earthquake [in Chile] has filtered through to the market and is boosting the price, it’s in the area of the northern mining regions and it will be interesting to see if anything is disrupted,” one market participant said.

However, Chilean copper producers Codelco and Antofagasta reported no damage to their operations. The two miners have operations close to the city of Calama, where the quake occurred.

In the precious metals space, Comex gold for December delivery moved up 80 cents or 0.1% to $1,277.60 per oz.

Currency moves and data releases

  • The dollar index halted its decline after the release of strong US economic data on Wednesday; it was most recently up 0.28% to 93.74.
  • In other commodities, the Texas light sweet crude oil spot price was up 0.24% to $50.10 per barrel. 
  • The ADP non-farm employment change in September came in at 135,000, just above an expected reading of 131,000, while the ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for September stood at 59.8, higher than the forecast of 55.5. 
  • “The [ISM manufacturing] index is now at its highest since August 2005 and is a sign that the US economy is recovering quickly from hurricane-related disruptions,” National Australia Bank said on Thursday. 
  • In today’s data, weekly unemployment claims came in at 260,000, just below the forecast of 270,000. Challenger job cuts year-over-year in September stood at -27.
  • In addition, US Federal Open Market Committee members Jerome Powell and Patrick Harker are due to speak later.

 

What to read next
Jeddah in Saudi Arabia and Port of Sohar in Oman are becoming tactical workarounds for base metal exports blocked by the Strait of Hormuz closure, with cargo transiting via land-bridge to other Gulf states, such as Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates – though capacity constraints and elevated logistics costs limit availability, sources with direct visibility of Gulf supply chains told Fastmarkets.
The Mexican aluminium market might be strongly affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with supply constraints and consequently higher premiums, market participants told Fastmarkets on Tuesday March 10.
Lundin Mining and BHP published a preliminary economic assessment on February 16 for their Vicuña joint venture, projecting average annual copper production of 395,000 tonnes over the first 25 years of operation as Argentina’s copper concentrate pipeline continues to build. PSJ Cobre Mendocino separately confirmed on February 14 that its feasibility study was under way.
Chinese lead smelters turned more bearish on the procurement of raw materials in the week to Friday February 13, amid heightened price volatility in silver, which is often contained in lead ores as an important by-product and contributor to smelter profits, sources told Fastmarkets.
Roughly 40,000 tonnes per month of copper cathode that once flowed smoothly into the United Arab Emirates (UAE) through Jebel Ali had few options to reroute after the Strait of Hormuz officially closed on Monday March 2, with the only alternative entry points — Khor Fakkan and Fujairah — already straining under the weight of diverted cargo, market sources told Fastmarkets.
Navigating market volatility with data-driven strategies for resilient mining operations