LIVE FUTURES REPORT 16/10: Comex copper prices surge on optimism of positive Chinese data

Comex copper prices were trading at the highest point since August 2014 in the morning of Monday October 16, with market participants anticipating improved Chinese data over the coming week.

Copper for December settlement on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange jumped 11 cents or 3.5% to $3.2435 per lb.

Chinese market participants’ growing optimism ahead of the upcoming 13th Five-Year Plan meeting at the 19th Party Congress in Beijing is playing a major role in higher prices.

“It appears that copper, and indeed the other base metals, is in demand in anticipation of good Chinese economic data – Thursday will see the third-quarter GDP figure and other economic data for September published,” Commerzbank said in a research note.

“The governor of the Chinese central bank had already hinted at the weekend that growth is likely to be good. Market participants will also be focusing their attention on China this week because Wednesday will see the start of the party congress, which only takes place every five years,” the bank added.

Comex gold for December delivery inched up $3.0 or 0.2% to $1,307.60 per oz.

Currency moves and data releases 

  • The dollar index was recently up by 0.14% to 93.19. 
  • The Texas light sweet crude oil spot price was most recently up by 1.47% to $52.49 per barrel. 
  • Data out already shows the Chinese producer price index (PPI) for September climbing 6.9%, after a 6.3% rise previously, while its consumer price index (CPI) dipped to 1.6% from 1.8%, but this lower reading was within market expectations. Meanwhile, Japanese revised industrial production was 2%, down slightly from the initial reading of 2.1%. 
  • In the USA, the Empire State Manufacturing Index in October was 30.2, a big lift from the economic consensus of 20.3.

What to read next
Liontown Resources has revived its previously deferred expansion study at its Kathleen Valley mine and is weighing near-term orders for long-lead equipment, its chief executive officer said – the clearest signal yet that growth planning is returning to the agenda as lithium market conditions stabilize.
Fastmarkets is changing the units of its Mexico non-ferrous scrap price assessments to improve clarity and to align with prevailing commercial practices, per feedback from market participants. The majority of submissions, transactions and references for these markets use kilogram-based prices, particularly across key regions such as Monterrey and Bajío. Converting these assessments to a peso […]
Fastmarkets has moved the frequency of the price assessments of MB-ILM-0004 Ilmenite concentrate, 47-49% TiO2, cif China, $/tonne, MB-RUT-0002 Rutile 95% TiO2 min, bagged, fob Australia, $/tonne and MB-RUT-0001 Rutile 95% TiO2 min, large volumes for pigment, fob Australia, $/tonne to monthly from fortnightly, effective March 5.
Navigating market volatility with data-driven strategies for resilient mining operations
The publication of Fastmarkets’ MB-STS-0332 Stainless steel cold-rolled sheet, 2mm, grade 316, transaction domestic, delivered North Europe, €/tonne averages between August 2025 and February 2026 was delayed because of a procedural lapse.
The publication of Fastmarkets’ assessments for MB-STE-0093 Steel scrap auto bundle scrap domestic, delivered Turkey and MB-STE-0094 Steel scrap melting scrap from shipbreaking domestic, delivered Turkey on March 2 were delayed because of a reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.