LIVE FUTURES REPORT 17/11: SHFE base metals mostly lower; nickel down on short-selling pressures

Base metals traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were mostly lower during Asian morning trading on Friday November 17, with nickel down amid short-selling pressures and profit-taking.

The most-traded May nickel contract on the SHFE was at 93,390 yuan ($14,082) per tonne as of 10:45am Shanghai time, down 670 yuan from the previous session’s close with around 585,000 lots changing hands so far.

Open interest of the contract rose to 454,440 positions as at 10:08am Shanghai time, up from 440,942 positions at Thursday’s close as investors opened short positions.

“The weak economic data in China earlier this week has sparked some concerns about demand for stainless steel and nickel in coming months. This was enough for investors to lock in some gains after the 20% rally in prices over the past couple of months,” ANZ Research said on Friday.

“Bearish sentiment in the commodity markets is likely to remain a key driver of prices for the rest of the week,” the bank added.

Meanwhile, the most-traded January copper contract on the SHFE traded at 52,950 yuan per tonne as of 10:45am Shanghai time, up 140 yuan from the previous session’s close, with around 157,000 lots traded so far.

The SHFE copper price saw some support from the recent drop in London Metal Exchange copper stocks – inventories had fallen by a total of 7,250 tonnes over Wednesday and Thursday – but it nonetheless remains some distance from a high of 55,910 yuan per tonne reached on October 16.

The SHFE copper price lacks positive factors to support it in the near term while the drop in SHFE nickel prices has affected sentiment in the base metals market overall, China’s Ruida Futures said late on Thursday.

Rest of complex lower except zinc

  • The most-traded January zinc contract price rose 55 yuan to 25,080 yuan per tonne.
  • The most traded January lead contract price lost 85 yuan to 18,410 yuan per tonne
  • The most-traded January aluminium contract price slipped 5 yuan to 15,475 yuan per tonne.
  • The most-traded January tin contract price dipped 400 yuan to 142,710 yuan per tonne.


Currency moves and data releases

  • The dollar index was down by 0.37% at 93.52 as of 10:31am Shanghai time.
  • In other commodities, the Brent crude oil spot price fell 0.42% to $61.10 per barrel as of 10:32am Shanghai time.
  • In equities, the Shanghai Composite was down 0.49% to 3,382.46.
  • In US data on Thursday, weekly unemployment claims came in at 249,000, above the 235,000 forecast. Import prices also disappointed with a 0.2%, below an expected print of 0.4%, and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve manufacturing index stood at 22.7.
  • Additionally, the capacity utilization rate improved to 77%, besting the estimate of 76.3%. Industrial production month over month ticked up 0.9%, beating the previous release of 0.4%.
  • The economic agenda is light today with mainly US building permits and housing starts of note. European Central Bank president Mario Draghi is also scheduled to speak.

SHFE snapshot at 1045am Shanghai time
Most-traded SHFE contracts
  Price
(yuan per tonne)
 Change since yesterday’s close
(yuan)
Copper  52,950 140
Aluminium 15,475 -5
Zinc 25,080 55
Lead 18,410 -85
Tin  142,710 -400
Nickel  93,390 -670

LME snapshot at 0245am London time
Latest three-month  LME Prices
  Price
($ per tonne)
 Change since yesterday’s close
($)
Copper 6,776 39
Aluminium 2,112 10
Lead 2,409 5.5
Zinc 3,153.50 9.5
Tin 19,400 50
Nickel 11,535 185

Changjiang spot snapshot on November 17
  Range
(yuan per tonne)
 Change
(yuan)
Copper  52,800-52,840 -190
Aluminium 15,230-15,270 -120
Zinc 25,350-25,400 -130
Lead 18,350-18,550 -50
Tin  142,000-144,000 -250
Nickel  92,900-93,200 -1,400
What to read next
Market participants shared insight into the market dynamics for copper, nickel, zinc, lead and tin during LME Week, which ran September 30-October 4
The Western world’s industrial strength is beginning to drop, but Jakob Stausholm, chief executive officer of Rio Tinto, said at a London Metal Exchange seminar that there was “plenty of demand to be unlocked from reindustrialization.”
Demand for zinc was expected to grow by 2030, despite the challenges facing both the supply and demand sides, Andrew Green, executive director of the International Zinc Association, said in an exclusive interview with Fastmarkets during LME Week in London
Fastmarkets is inviting feedback from the industry on the methodology for its audited non-ferrous price assessments and indices, as part of its announced annual methodology review process.
Fastmarkets is inviting feedback from the industry on its pricing methodology and product specifications for non-ferrous materials and industrial minerals, as part of its announced annual methodology review process.
Freeport-McMoRan is in the process of ramping up its new copper smelter in Gresik, Indonesia, in a move that has seen the company switch away from being a marketer of concentrates as it becomes a fully integrated producer in the country, the company's chief executive officer Kathleen Quirk told Fastmarkets in an interview during the London Metal Exchange (LME) Week 2024.