LIVE FUTURES REPORT 20/08: LME Al price continues to climb but copper, tin dip

Base metals prices were trading broadly higher on the London Metal Exchange Wednesday September 20 although copper closed in negative territory.

The three-month aluminium price continued to rise, closing up $53 per tonne after it earlier hit its highest since January 2013.

Lead prices also continued to strengthen, finding support from supply tightness amid continuing environmental inspections in China.

“The growing market deficit and declining refined-lead stocks should continue to underpin the bullish momentum and help erode overhead resistance at $2,500 per tonne,” Metal Bulletin analyst Andy Farida said.

“As such, we remain cautiously bullish towards lead and will not rule out a new 2017 high if buying pressure persists,” he added.

The three-month nickel price recovered further thanks to improved buying in the stainless steel sector. But copper and tin both edged lower.

Market participants are awaiting the conclusion of the US Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) September meeting later today and its economic projections, statement, rate decisions and press conference.

Copper dips

  • The three-month copper price declined $12 to close at $6,527 per tonne. 
  • LME stocks increased a net 13,225 tonnes to 313,850 tonnes, with most deliveries into Busan and Gwangyang. This follows more than 100,000 tonnes of deliveries into LME-listed warehouses last week. 
  • As well, 20,150 tonnes of copper was also re-warranted today, reflecting the benchmark cash/three-month contango remaining at a wide $43.50 per tonne. 
  • “We remain bullish for copper’s fundamentals but prices had started to look overstretched in the short term so some profit-taking seemed probable, which is now unfolding,” Metal Bulletin senior analyst William Adams said.

Base metals

  • The three-month aluminium price rose around 2.5% to end at $2,177 per tonne. Stocks fell 2,725 tonnes to 1,303,925 tonnes. 
  • Nickel’s three-month price was up $240 to $11,380 per tonne at the close. Inventories dipped by 2,766 tonnes to 380,736 tonnes. 
  • The three-month zinc price ended $27 higher at $3,133 per tonne. Stocks fell 1,275 tonnes to 266,250 tonnes. 
  • Lead’s three-month price concluded at $2,460 per tonne, an increase of $40. Inventories nudged 125 tonnes lower to 162,575 tonnes. 
  • The three-month tin price closed $25 lower at $20,626 per tonne after stocks rose 105 tonnes to 2,035 tonnes.

Currency moves and data releases

  • The dollar index was recently down 0.10% at 91.73.
  • In other commodities, the Brent crude oil spot price was up 1.43% at $56.16 per barrel. 
  • In data, US existing home sales for August disappointed at 5.35 million, below the forecast of 5.46 million.

What to read next
The publication of the affected price was delayed for 29 minutes. The following assessment was published late: MB-ZN-0110 Zinc spot concentrate TC, cif China, $/per tonne This price is a part of the Fastmarkets Base Metals Physical Prices package. For more information or to provide feedback on the delayed publication of this price or if you […]
The publication of Fastmarkets’ price assessments of the base metals arbitrage for copper, aluminium, zinc and nickel for Friday August 1 were delayed due to reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
The publication of Fastmarkets’ MB-ALU-0003 alumina index adjustment to fob Australia index, Brazil for Thursday July 31 was delayed because of a reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
Key takeaways: US 50% tariffs on Brazil exclude pulp, other major exporting sectors US President Donald Trump has signed an executive order implementing an additional 40% tariff on Brazil, raising the total tariff to 50%, the White House said in a statement published on Wednesday July 30. The new tariffs will take effect in seven […]
Market reactions to the soon-to-be-implemented US copper tariff are driving short-term volatility and supply imbalances while fuelling long-term efforts to expand domestic production, recycling and infrastructure.
US export controls on recycled copper would have unintended consequences that could weaken the country’s domestic recycling and manufacturing ecosystems, the president of the Recycled Materials Association (ReMA) said.