MORNING VIEW: Metals markets mixed despite China’s strong trade data

The global economy looks stronger again - Chinese exports were up by 21.1% in November year on year - but the base metals were mixed on Monday December 7, having been exceptionally strong recently , so perhaps the market realizes a lot of the good news is baked in already.

  • Chinese trade balance climbed to $75.4 billion in November from $58.4 billion in October
  • Japan’s leading indicators climbed to 93.8% in October from 92.5% in September

Base metals
The three-month base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange were mixed this morning, with copper, aluminium and lead down by an average of 0.5%, while the rest were up by an average of 0.3%. Copper was down 0.3% at $7,732 per tonne, but earlier in the day had set a fresh high for the year at $7,800 per tonne.

The most-traded base metals contracts on the SHFE were mainly firmer, the exceptions were the January contracts of zinc and lead that were down by 0.1% and 1.5% respectively, while the rest of the metals were up by an average of 1%, skewed by a 2.3% rise in February nickel, with January copper up by 0.1% at 57,220 yuan ($8,745) per tonne.

Precious metals
Spot gold prices were firmer this morning, up by 0.1% at$1,841.16 per oz, with palladium ($2,362.50 per oz) up by 0.7%, while silver ($23.12 per oz) and platinum ($1,044 per oz) were down by 0.2% and 1.2% respectively.

Wider markets
The yield on US 10-year treasuries has pushed higher, it was recently quoted at 0.95%, up from 0.83% at a similar time last Monday, November 30.

Asia-Pacific equities were also mixed this morning: the CSI (-0.87%), the Nikkei (-0.76%), the Hang Seng (-1.33%), the Kospi (+0.51%) and the ASX 200 (+0.62%).

Currencies
The US dollar index was consolidating this morning and was recently at 90.82, after setting a low of 90.47 on Friday. 

The other major currencies were off recent highs, but remain in high ground overall: the euro (1.2126), the Australian dollar (0.7429), sterling (1.3405) and the yen (104.12).

Key data
In addition to the data highlighted above, German industrial production climbed 3.2% in October, up from 2.3% in September.

Later there is data out on United Kingdom house prices, EU Sentix investor confidence and US consumer credit.

Today’s key themes and views
The base metals on the LME were looking quite mixed, tin and nickel were holding up in high ground, lead was leading on the downside, while zinc, aluminium and copper have just pulled back from recent highs.

Given the strength of sentiment and the upward trends, the positive medium-term outlook and an extremely liquid climate, the overall upward trends could still continue, but in the shorter term prices seem to have run ahead of the fundamentals.

Gold prices have put in a strong rebound off last Monday’s low at $1,765.50 per oz, but prices appear to be consolidating now either side of $1,840 per oz. With broader markets continuing to see strength and sentiment bullish, gold may struggle to trend higher.

What to read next
Fastmarkets has corrected the rationale for MB-COA-0003 Premium hard coking coal, fob eastern Australian ports, $/wmt, which was published incorrectly on Tuesday July 7 due to a typographical error.
The publication of Fastmarkets' flat steel reduced carbon emissions, daily inferred price for Tuesday July 7, 2026 was delayed due to a procedure lapse. Fastmarkets' pricing database has been updated.
New York-headquartered global commodities company Hartree Partners will take the first 330,000 tonnes of copper concentrate from Blue Moon Metals' Nussir project in Norway, Christian Kargl-Simard, the critical metals developer's chief executive officer, told Fastmarkets on Monday July 6.
Fastmarkets has amended the holiday pricing schedule for the aluminium P1020A, fob Indonesia premium assessment, with the changes taking effect from Tuesday July 7.
Prices for tungsten hexafluoride (WF6), a specialty gas used in advanced semiconductor manufacturing and increasingly linked to AI-driven chip demand, have surged in recent months amid tightening supply and growing expectations for next-generation memory production.
Chinese molybdenum-related stocks have rallied in recent months on the heels of a surge in the semiconductor sector driven by the AI boom, given the transition from tungsten to molybdenum in the manufacturing of next-generation memory chips, sources told Fastmarkets.