Pilbara Minerals lowers FY25 production guidance as Ngungaju plant placed on care and maintenance

Australian lithium producer Pilbara Minerals will be placing its Ngungaju plant on care and maintenance from December 2024, the company announced on Tuesday October 29

The Ngungaju plant, located in Western Australia, produces spodumene concentrate and was acquired by Pilbara Minerals in 2021 from Altura Lithium.

The plant has a nameplate capacity of 180,000-200,000 tonnes per year of spodumene concentrate but has a lower capacity and operates at higher cost than the company’s Pilgan plant, which also produces spodumene concentrate.

The company will therefore focus solely on production from the Pilgan plant, a move which the company estimates will improve cashflow by A$200 million ($131.2 million).

“While the Ngungaju plant has undergone significant upgrades since it was acquired from Altura Mining, it does not match the scale or processing capability of the Pilgan plant,” Pilbara Minerals said.

The placing of the Ngungaju plant on care and maintenance will reduce the company’s forecast production of spodumene concentrate in fiscal year 2025 though, by around 100,000 tonnes.

The company reports an estimated production guidance of 700,000-740,000 tonnes in 2025, compared to the previous guidance of 800,000-840,000 tonnes.

Supply glut has pressured lithium prices lower

Following a slowing in global demand for lithium relative to the rate of production increases, the lithium market has experienced significant oversupply, which has weighed on spot prices.

Since reaching their peaks in 2022, prices for lithium products, including battery grade lithium salts and spodumene, have largely returned to multi-year lows.

Fastmarkets most recently assessed the spodumene min 6% Li2O, spot price, cif China at $730-770 per tonne on Wednesday, unchanged from the previous day, but down by 21% since the beginning of 2024.

Fastmarkets research currently forecasts that the global lithium market is set to record a surplus of 137,500 tonnes in 2024 on an lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) basis, following a 175,700-tonne LCE surplus in 2023.

In fact, the lithium market is currently set to experience surpluses until 2027.

This surplus is causing concern among some market participants about the direction of future lithium prices.

“I don’t think we see any significant change in price fundamentals without cuts on the supply side,” a trader told Fastmarkets.

This is a view echoed by Pilbara in their quarterly reports statement.

“Consistent with market commentary, further market rebalancing, through either increased demand or supply curtailments, is required to catalyze a near-term price improvement,” the company said.

There is historical precedent for the need for production cuts to support price recovery. During the price downturn in lithium between 2018 and 2020, there were a series of production cuts, particularly on the spodumene side of the market.

In that period, there were curtailments at Bald Hill and Wodgina mines, as well as production reductions at Pilgangoora and Mt Cattlin mines. The closure of Altura in October 2020, which included the Ngungaju project, was the final cutback before prices began to recover in 2021.

“With the market oversupplied production cuts are needed, so Pilbara’s decision to idle the Ngungaju plant is an important development,” William Adams, Fastmarkets head of base metal and battery raw materials research, said.

“The last time the Ngungaju plant closed, when Altura Mining went into administration in October 2020, it signaled the bottom of the bear market – unfortunately it is unlikely to have the same impact this time round, as more cutbacks are going to be needed to rebalance the market,” Adams said.

Want to know more? Read Fastmarkets’ spodumene FAQs here.

What to read next
Fastmarkets has corrected the rationale for its MB-LI-0033 Lithium hydroxide monohydrate LiOH.H2O 56.5% LiOH min, battery grade, spot price cif China, Japan & Korea, which was published incorrectly on Thursday April 9 due to a typo. The published rationale for MB-LI-0033 Lithium hydroxide monohydrate LiOH.H2O 56.5% LiOH min, battery grade, spot price cif China, Japan […]
Fastmarkets proposes to amend the publication times for a number of its technology and energy metals (TEM) price assessments for the Chinese market, with the proposed changes to come into effect from Monday May 18. The prices, currently published in UK working hours, will be published in China working hours after the change to more […]
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) may have exported less than half of the volumes allocated to miners for the fourth quarter of 2025, extended to the end of the first quarter of 2026, under the country's new quota system, sources told Fastmarkets in the week to Wednesday March 25.
Why overcoming finance hurdles in mining is crucial for securing critical minerals and powering the global shift to clean energy
Fastmarkets also proposes to clarify the shelf life, payment terms and timing for assessments within this suite of prices. Fastmarkets has observed swift growth of the spot market battery-grade lithium salts market, and this proposal follows the widening of reported price ranges over the past year, especially in the CIF China, Japan and Korea assessments. […]
The webinar “Lithium in South America: An overview of the present and future,” presented the chance to gain valuable insights into the key dynamics currently influencing the lithium markets in South America, alongside expectations for how the regional and global outlook may evolve.