SAF in 2025: pioneering EU and UK aviation fuel mandates

Discover the key insights, forecasts, and industry dynamics shaping the future of aviation fuel and learn how these mandates will impact the global landscape.

This year and beyond, Europe and the UK are preparing to reach an ambitious milestone in sustainable aviation. Aviation fuel mandates, designed to propel the adoption of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), promise to reshape how the industry tackles climate challenges. But the path to achieving these goals is anything but straightforward.

Meeting the UK and EU SAF mandates

The EU and UK are setting a precedent with their SAF mandates, requiring airlines to blend at least 2% of SAF into their jet fuel supply by 2025. At face value, the numbers sound achievable. Just over 1.2 million tonnes of SAF will be needed between the two regions. However, considering the EU’s jet fuel consumption hovers around 46 million tonnes annually and the UK at 11.9 million tonnes, the scale of transformation required is monumental.

But 2025’s mandate is just the start. The EU’s ReFuelEU Aviation regulation is targeting 6% SAF by 2030 and an ambitious 70% by 2050. Meanwhile, the UK is aiming for 10% by 2030, and while their trajectory is slightly different, the ultimate pressure to decarbonize is no less intense.

How, then, will these mandates be met? What hurdles might lie ahead for the aviation industry, and where do the opportunities begin to emerge?

The SAF production puzzle

New mandates aren’t just increasing SAF quotas but are also pushing for technologies like synthetic SAF and alternatives to the dominant HEFA pathway. While necessary for the long-term roadmap, these advancements come with their own cost and scalability concerns.

The move to SAF isn’t just about compliance, it’s an investment in resilience and innovation for the aviation industry. For businesses across the supply chain, this marks an opportunity to lead the way in sustainable solutions.

Want to learn more? Access our complete data story, “SAF in 2025: meeting ambitious EU and UK aviation fuel mandates.”

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The following prices were affected: AG-SAF-0004 Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF max), base cost, exw Netherlands, $ per tonne AG-SAF-0005 Sustainable aviation fuel (HVO max), base cost, exw Netherlands, $ per tonne These prices are part of the Fastmarkets aviation and biofuels, fats and oils packages. For more information, or to provide feedback on the delayed publication of […]
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