SAF in 2025: pioneering EU and UK aviation fuel mandates

Discover the key insights, forecasts, and industry dynamics shaping the future of aviation fuel and learn how these mandates will impact the global landscape.

This year and beyond, Europe and the UK are preparing to reach an ambitious milestone in sustainable aviation. Aviation fuel mandates, designed to propel the adoption of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), promise to reshape how the industry tackles climate challenges. But the path to achieving these goals is anything but straightforward.

Meeting the UK and EU SAF mandates

The EU and UK are setting a precedent with their SAF mandates, requiring airlines to blend at least 2% of SAF into their jet fuel supply by 2025. At face value, the numbers sound achievable. Just over 1.2 million tonnes of SAF will be needed between the two regions. However, considering the EU’s jet fuel consumption hovers around 46 million tonnes annually and the UK at 11.9 million tonnes, the scale of transformation required is monumental.

But 2025’s mandate is just the start. The EU’s ReFuelEU Aviation regulation is targeting 6% SAF by 2030 and an ambitious 70% by 2050. Meanwhile, the UK is aiming for 10% by 2030, and while their trajectory is slightly different, the ultimate pressure to decarbonize is no less intense.

How, then, will these mandates be met? What hurdles might lie ahead for the aviation industry, and where do the opportunities begin to emerge?

The SAF production puzzle

New mandates aren’t just increasing SAF quotas but are also pushing for technologies like synthetic SAF and alternatives to the dominant HEFA pathway. While necessary for the long-term roadmap, these advancements come with their own cost and scalability concerns.

The move to SAF isn’t just about compliance, it’s an investment in resilience and innovation for the aviation industry. For businesses across the supply chain, this marks an opportunity to lead the way in sustainable solutions.

Want to learn more? Access our complete data story, “SAF in 2025: meeting ambitious EU and UK aviation fuel mandates.”

Read the full report and view our forecasts
Want to know more? Fill out this form to discover the key insights, forecasts, and industry dynamics shaping the future of aviation fuel, plus learn how these mandates will impact the global landscape.

What to read next
Crude palm oil (CPO) futures in Malaysia rebounded from their three-day decline to close higher on Thursday, following short-covering activities and a modest recovery in crude oil and related oils after a sharp sell-off the previous day. The spike in crude prices also underpinned Chicago soy oil futures, although the market posed only modest gains.
F&B procurement intelligence empowers you to validate supplier claims, negotiate with confidence and protect your margins during global market disruptions.
Global animal protein complex prices were mixed to mostly firmer in the week to Thursday April 9.
The publication of Fastmarkets’ Soymeal CIF US Gulf Barge Hipro, Soymeal CIF US Gulf Barge Hipro Premium, Soymeal FOB US Gulf Barge Hipro and Soymeal FOB US Gulf Barge Hipro Premium assessments for April 6 and 7, 2026 was delayed because of a procedure lapse and a system error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
The EU-Mercosur trade agreement, set to take provisional effect in 2026, aims to reduce trade barriers between the two regions. However, the deal faces significant opposition from environmental groups and EU agricultural sectors. For the pulp and paper industry, the effects will be phased in over several years, with an analysis by Cepi showing that tariff reductions will be gradual, eventually benefiting about 85% of EU pulp exports and 90% of paper and board exports.
Crop-based biodiesel became cheaper than fossil diesel in the EU for the first time on Thursday April 2, when premiums for core crop grades FAME 0 (fatty acid methyl ester 0) and RME (rapeseed methyl ester) over ICE gasoil fell into negative territory.