Shanghai copper premiums keep sliding amid Qingdao fears

Copper premiums in Shanghai continued to fall on Wednesday June 4 with offer prices dropping as low as $90 per tonne on a cif basis as the probe into the use of metal for collateral in Qingdao pushed buyers to the sidelines.

Copper premiums in Shanghai continued to fall on Wednesday June 4 with offer prices dropping as low as $90 per tonne on a cif basis as the probe into the use of metal for collateral in Qingdao pushed buyers to the sidelines.

Stocks of copper in China are largely stored in bonded warehouses in Shanghai. For the moment Chinese authorities are indicating that the investigation into alleged credit fraud centres on Qingdao, but market participants are reluctant to assume that other areas will be spared scrutiny.

The backwardation in nearby copper spreads on the Shanghai Futures Exchange has steepened as market participants cover shorts fearing that stocks could be frozen if evidence fraud is uncovered.

http://www.metalbulletin.com/Article/3348596/Base-metals/LME-copper-spreads-ease-and-SHFEs-tighten-on-Qingdao-probe.html

“Nobody wants to take bonded cargoes now, not only in Qingdao, but also in Shanghai,” one Shanghai-based physical trader told MB.

“Even though the offer price has fallen to $90 per tonne overnight, it is still not attractive.”

The cif premium fell to $100-105 per tonne on Tuesday from $120-130 on Monday on concerns about double- and triple-pledging of material were exposed, and the authorities launched a probe into the Dagang bonded warehouse zone in Qingdao.

“All the banks and trading companies are busy checking their stocks now,” a second trader who has direct knowledge of Qingdao’s probe said.

“Banks and trading companies held an emergency closed-door conference last Thursday. After that, they started to check their stocks to minimise losses.”

“We are also counting our stocks in bonded warehouse now. Before the internal examination, I am not going to make further purchase,” she said.

“I think banks will be more careful and they will not be doing new business before the investigation.”

A third trader told MB that they delayed their ocean shipped cargo into bonded warehouse as “everyone wants to avoid the words ‘warehouse receipt’.”

What to read next
Fastmarkets wishes to clarify that it accepts data submissions in outright price and as a differential to the Mineral Benchmark Price (HPM)-plus-premium for its Indonesian domestic trade nickel ore price assessments. Fastmarkets is also seeking market feedback on recent changes to the Indonesian government’s HPM specifications.
Own-sourced copper output from Glencore’s African copper assets — KCC and Mutanda in the Democratic Republic of Congo — surged by 68% year on year to 67,900 tonnes over the same period, while Glencore’s cobalt production fell by 39% year on year amid the DRC’s export quota system.
Copper’s long-term outlook is constrained by the industry’s limited ability to bring new supply online fast enough to meet rising demand, with permitting delays, higher capital costs and policy risks slowing project development, industry executives said at the FT Commodities Global Summit on Wednesday April 22.
Capital is flowing back into junior mining, but selectively. Investment is increasingly favouring development‑stage assets with clearer paths to production, supported by government funding and strategic partnerships. While demand for critical minerals underpins the cycle, early‑stage explorers continue to struggle for capital as investors prioritise discipline, ESG alignment and near‑term cash flow.
Copper in concentrate production from Ivanhoe Mines' Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) fell to 61,906 tonnes in the first quarter, down by 54% from 133,120 tonnes a year earlier, with the company now evaluating local third-party concentrate purchases to advance the ramp-up of its on-site smelter, according to an April 13 production release as the market focused its attention on the impact of global sulfuric acid shortages during CESCO Week in Chile from April 13-17.
China's planned sulfuric acid export ban from May 1, historic lows for copper concentrates treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) and a fragmenting 2026 benchmark system dominated CESCO Week 2026 in Santiago from April 13-17.