Supply woes, scrap gains propel US HRC price to $63/cwt

Hot-rolled coil prices in the United States have hit another all-time high, driven by supply shortages and strength in domestic ferrous scrap pricing.

Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, fob mill US was calculated at $63 per hundredweight ($1,260 per short ton) on Thursday March 4, up by 1.04% from $62.35 per cwt on Wednesday and by 1.86% from $61.85 per cwt on February 25.

Inputs were received across all three sub-indices in a range from $60-65 per cwt, inclusive of mill offers and general assessments of current spot market price levels.

Heard in the market
A worsening supply crunch, along with emerging strong upside in prime scrap prices in the March raw material trade, have worked in tandem to push Fasmarkets’ daily index to a new all-time record.

Sources said there are no immediate signs that the meteoric rise in hot band prices will abate anytime soon.

A southern service center source expects domestic producers to increase prices once this month’s scrap trade settles, with Detroit entering the market up $70 per gross ton on prime grades.

One end user source noted that producers in the US South are four to six weeks behind schedule, and the volume of imported hot band entering the market is not sufficient enough to pressure domestic prices.

Furthermore, with demand from key steel-consuming industries remaining strong, sources said the current bull market should have staying power through the end of the second quarter of this year.

Quote of the day
“I’m very worried about supply,” a consumer source said. “Steel is like searching for toilet paper during the initial onslaught of the Covid pandemic – shelves [are] all empty.”

What to read next
Fastmarkets has launched three new critical minerals prices on Friday May 1 to improve transparency in the US market. The additional prices are: MB-BI-0004 – Bismuth 99.99%, ddp US, $/lbMB-IN-0005 – Indium 99.99%, ddp US, $/kgMB-GA-0003 – Gallium 99.99%, ddp US $/kg The launch of the bismuth and indium price assessments follow a consultation period […]
Confused by pulp pricing terminology? This guide defines the 5 major pulp price types, from list price to spot price, to help you navigate negotiations.
The US has stepped up calls for its allies to accept higher costs for sourcing critical minerals outside China, arguing that supply chain security must take precedence over price efficiency – a stance that is reshaping expectations across metals markets but has yet to translate into durable pricing support.
Fastmarkets has corrected its EN-BD-0032 Renewable diesel, del Los Angeles, $/gal assessment that was published incorrectly on Friday April 17 due to a reporter error.
Fastmarkets has corrected the price for MB-STE-0524 Steel scrap No1 busheling, consumer buying price, delivered mill Chicago, $/gross ton, weekly composite, which was published incorrectly on April 10 and April 17 at $449 per gross ton due to a procedural error. It has been corrected to $450 per gross ton.
North American automotive OEMs are navigating one of the toughest cost pressures today: raw material volatility. As supply chains become more localized through USMCA, the IRA, and reshoring, manufacturers continue to face rising material price risks.