US hot-rolled coil index drops nearly $20/t

Hot-rolled coil prices in the United States have fallen by nearly $20 per short ton ($1 per hundredweight) one day after reaching an all-time high, while buyers weighed the risks of purchasing material at these levels.

Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, fob mill US was calculated at $58.67 per cwt ($1,173.40 per ton) on Friday February 12, down by 1.61% from $59.63 per cwt on Thursday February 11 and a decline of 0.95% from $59.23 per cwt a week earlier. Still, the index stands at more than double the year-ago price of $28.79 per cwt on February 12, 2020. 

Inputs were received across all three sub-indices in a range from $57-61 per cwt, representing confirmed deals, mill offers and assessments. Large-volume deals below the Thursday price drove down the index. Transactional inputs were carried over within the producer and consumer sub-indices to minimize day-to-day volatility. 

Heard in the market

There is very little supply available in the US, especially in the Midwest, sources said. Even when material is available, distributors and consumers have been leery of purchasing anything but the minimum needed to meet their immediate needs, according to respondents. 

Buyers have resisted purchasing foreign material so far because the shipments will not arrive until June or July, at which time the buyers are concerned that the price rally will be over and they will be left with high-cost steel. The longer that prices remain at historically high levels, the greater the appeal of imports, sources said.

Quote of the day
“US buyers are frustrated with the greedy attitude of the US mills, which is typical whenever we have a tight market,” a trader said. “But with world prices being under pressure, imports become more and more attractive. I am getting an increased number of calls from customers I have not heard from in more than a year who want to resume connections with the offshore mills they used to buy from.”

Patrick Fitzgerald and Dom Yanchunas, both in New York, contributed to this report.

What to read next
The US has stepped up calls for its allies to accept higher costs for sourcing critical minerals outside China, arguing that supply chain security must take precedence over price efficiency – a stance that is reshaping expectations across metals markets but has yet to translate into durable pricing support.
Fastmarkets has corrected its EN-BD-0032 Renewable diesel, del Los Angeles, $/gal assessment that was published incorrectly on Friday April 17 due to a reporter error.
Fastmarkets has corrected the price for MB-STE-0524 Steel scrap No1 busheling, consumer buying price, delivered mill Chicago, $/gross ton, weekly composite, which was published incorrectly on April 10 and April 17 at $449 per gross ton due to a procedural error. It has been corrected to $450 per gross ton.
North American automotive OEMs are navigating one of the toughest cost pressures today: raw material volatility. As supply chains become more localized through USMCA, the IRA, and reshoring, manufacturers continue to face rising material price risks.
US steelmakers faced a “robust opportunity” in the data center construction boom, driven by rapid implementation of artificial intelligence software, according to Barry Zekelamn, executive chairman and chief executive officer of Zekelman Industries.
As major mills in the US steel industry inch closer to reinvestment decisions to reline their blast furnace operations, there is a window of opportunity to spur decarbonization in the already carbon-intensive sector, Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI) told Fastmarkets in an interview on Tuesday April 14.