US hot-rolled coil index holds above $40/cwt; market eyes domestic scrap trade

Hot-rolled coil prices in the United States have held above $40 per hundredweight ($800 per short ton) while the availability of spot tons remains limited, according to sources.

Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, fob mill US was calculated at $40.50 per cwt ($810 per ton) on Wednesday December 2, little-changed from $40.44 per cwt on Tuesday December 1 and an increase of 3.85% from $39 per cwt one week earlier.

Inputs were received in a range of $38-42.50 per cwt. This range represents confirmed mill offers and general assessments of current spot market pricing levels.

Heard in the market
Market participants reported that supply of hot-rolled coil continues to be tight, with limited spot availability at domestic mills, and that higher domestic ferrous scrap prices this month could support the hot band price uptrend as well.

Some sources said that January 2021 order books have closed at certain mills and that they will wait to order until February 2021 order books open up.

As a result, market participants expect US mills to remain in the drivers’ seat on pricing for the rest of December.

Quote of the day
“It’s a timing game now, it’s almost like milk with an expiration date of the week before Christmas. The opportunity to command a crazy price is quickly coming to a close,” a steel distributor said. “After the week before Christmas, everything will taper off until January, and I think demand will moderate after that. Sellers need to sell their material before the expiration date.”

Index calculation
Inputs at the top end of the range were discarded because sources indicated that price level was not reflective of current spot buying prices.

What to read next
Investors in the US corn and wheat markets amassed shorts in the week to Tuesday May 13, moving corn from a net long to a net short for the first time since October, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed late on Friday May 16.
The UK’s domestic bioethanol industry could be at risk as a result of the recent trade deal announced between the UK and the US, industry members have warned.
Learn how timber imports affect the US economy regarding Canadian softwood lumber and future trade policies.
The recent US-China agreement to temporarily reduce tariffs is a major step for global trade, with tariffs on US goods entering China dropping from 125% to 10% and on Chinese goods entering the US decreasing from 145% to 30% starting May 14. While this has boosted markets and created optimism, key industries like autos and steel remain affected, leaving businesses waiting for clearer long-term trade policies.
BEK pulp prices in Europe dropped $40/tonne in April, driven by US import tariff uncertainties and weaker demand in China.
The US-China trade truce announced on May 12 has brought cautious optimism to China’s non-ferrous metals markets, signaling a possible shift in global trade. Starting May 14, the removal of additional tariffs has impacted sectors like battery raw materials, minor metals and base metals such as zinc and nickel, with mixed reactions. While the improved sentiment has lifted futures prices and trade activity, the long-term effects remain unclear due to challenges like supply-demand pressures and export controls.