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Read on for some highlights from our US ferrous scrap market survey for September or click here to download your copy of the full US scrap trends outlook.
September’s ferrous scrap market is trending lower, with a significant drop in the trend indicator from 52.1 in August to 45.1. This reflects a bearish sentiment compared to previous months and is largely driven by lower demand across the market. This trend indicator equates to an estimated scrap price decline of 2.6% next month. The actual scrap price registered a modest 0.52% increase month-on-month in September.
Lower demand, higher inventories and the craziest election that our country has ever known. Survey participant
Lower demand, higher inventories and the craziest election that our country has ever known.
Survey participant
The market consensus remains split, as indicated by a trend indicator consensus of 50.0 among brokers, contrasting with the more pessimistic outlook from buyers, where the indicator sits at 40.7. Sellers maintain a relatively more cautious stance, with their trend indicator at 44.4.
The market continues to be dominated by lower demand as the primary driver, overshadowing other potential factors. Industry participants may need to brace for further declines as September unfolds.
Overall, the ferrous scrap market’s direction seems clear, but there’s uncertainty among participants on how bearish the market will be for scrap prices in the coming weeks.