Chinese NPI prices resume downtrend amid weak demand and oversupply

The downtrend in China’s nickel pig iron (NPI) prices resumed in the week to Friday December 8 after pausing the preceding week, with the market still facing oversupply and slow demand from the stainless steel sector, sources told Fastmarkets

Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessments for nickel pig iron, high-grade, NPI content 10-15%, spot, ddp China and nickel pig iron, high-grade NPI content 10-15%, contract, ddp China were both 910-930 yuan ($127-130) per nickel unit on December 8, down by 30 yuan per nickel unit from 940-960 yuan per nickel unit on December 1.

Liquidity captured was at 910-930 yuan per nickel unit during the past week.

Demand from the stainless steel sector remained relatively weak, while no production cuts were seen at major NPI producer Indonesia, where smelters maintained high output, according to market participants.

“Though NPI prices have tumbled so much, Indonesian smelters still managed to maintain a very high output,” a NPI trader based in eastern China said. “This is because nickel ore prices in Indonesia have been dropping.”

Indonesian nickel ores had been trading at elevated prices amid concerns of a supply shortage after the Indonesian government said it would not issue any nickel ore mining quotas for 2023, which also pushed up NPI prices. Ore prices in the country then fell when NPI prices tumbled again in mid-September, sources said.

“Nickel ore prices have dropped by $15 per tonne in Indonesia [from their peak],” a producer source said.

Meanwhile, nickel ore prices were stable to lower in China’s import market amid weak demand from NPI makers.

An offer for 1.5% nickel ore was heard at $45 per tonne, indicating the downtrend.

Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for laterite ore with 1.5% Ni content, cif China was $44-46 per tonne on December 8, down by $4 per tonne compared with $48-50 per tonne on December 1.

And Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for nickel ore 1.8% basis 15-20% Fe water content: 30-35% Si:Mg ratio<2, lot size 50,000 tonnes, cif China was $78-80 per tonne on December 8, unchanged week on week.

To understand the complex market conditions influencing price volatility, download our monthly base metals price forecast, including the latest copper price forecasts today. Get a free sample.

What to read next
Following an informal consultation with the market, and a review of typical data sets that are collected over the recent months, Fastmarkets now proposes to increase the frequency of MB-BX-0016 Bauxite, cif China, $/dmt price to weekly basis and extend the timing of the price to reflect cargoes for arrival within 90 days, as well as moving the publish time to Friday from Wednesday.
Fastmarkets has launched the MB-BX-0017 Bauxite, FOB Guinea price, $/dmt on Friday December 19, 2025.
Fastmarkets has corrected the MB-ALU-0002 Alumina index, fob Australia, $/tonne, which was published incorrectly on Wednesday December 17 due to a procedural lapse. Fastmarkets has also corrected the index's rationale and all related inferred indices.
Explore the base metals outlook 2026 and learn how market trends are impacting copper, tin, and other metals this year.
On Wednesday December 3, the EU unveiled its ReSourceEU Action Plan, providing new guidance on critical raw materials supply, with a renewed emphasis on defense and $3.5 billion in funding for the coming year.
Fastmarkets will include EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) costs in its secondary aluminium billet premium, ddp Europe (MB-AL-0383) and its primary aluminium 6063 extrusion billet premium, in-whs dp Rotterdam (MB-AL-0002) assessments from January 1, 2026, when the definitive period of the EU’s CBAM is set to begin. The inclusion of CBAM costs with MB-AL-0383 and MB-AL-0002 will enable […]