EUROPEAN MORNING BRIEF 19/03: SHFE base metals prices all lower; cadmium market supported; non-ferrous price drivers shifting

Good morning from Metal Bulletin’s office in Shanghai as we bring you the latest news and pricing stories on Monday March 19.

Base metal prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were all lower during Asian morning trading on Monday, with several factors including easing supply concerns, a stronger dollar and an upcoming United States monetary policy meeting pressuring copper prices in particular.

Check Metal Bulletin’s live futures report here.

SHFE snapshot at 10:57am Shanghai time
Most-traded SHFE contracts
  Price (yuan per tonne) Change since previous session’s close (yuan)
Copper (May) 51,280 -840
Aluminium (May) 13,935 -60
Zinc (May) 24,885 -25
Lead (May) 18,435 -115
Tin  (May) 144,610 -110
Nickel  (Jul) 102,070 -1,640

LME snapshot at 02:58am London time
Latest three-month LME Prices
  Price ($ per tonne) Change since previous session’s close ($)
Copper 6,829 -59
Aluminium 2,076 -9
Lead 2,378 -5
Zinc 3240.50 -19.5
Tin 20,990 -10
Nickel 13,490 -135

Strong demand from India is continuing to support the cadmium market, with the price for higher-grade material reaching fresh highs this week, even with the end of the fiscal year approaching, market sources told Metal Bulletin.

The upheaval in the global non-ferrous metals trade is increasingly shifting price drivers from traditional factors to a landscape where geopolitical influences have more weight on prices, according the Bureau of International Recycling.

A surge in warehousing stocks and freight costs has zinc users in the United States wondering where the market is headed – and how near-term premiums will be affected.

Secondary aluminium scrap prices in the US generally remain steady, supported by firm demand and steady supply.

And in case you missed it:
Be sure to check out correspondent Dalton Barker’s review of the week in the non-ferrous markets.

What to read next
Own-sourced copper output from Glencore’s African copper assets — KCC and Mutanda in the Democratic Republic of Congo — surged by 68% year on year to 67,900 tonnes over the same period, while Glencore’s cobalt production fell by 39% year on year amid the DRC’s export quota system.
Copper’s long-term outlook is constrained by the industry’s limited ability to bring new supply online fast enough to meet rising demand, with permitting delays, higher capital costs and policy risks slowing project development, industry executives said at the FT Commodities Global Summit on Wednesday April 22.
Capital is flowing back into junior mining, but selectively. Investment is increasingly favouring development‑stage assets with clearer paths to production, supported by government funding and strategic partnerships. While demand for critical minerals underpins the cycle, early‑stage explorers continue to struggle for capital as investors prioritise discipline, ESG alignment and near‑term cash flow.
Copper in concentrate production from Ivanhoe Mines' Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) fell to 61,906 tonnes in the first quarter, down by 54% from 133,120 tonnes a year earlier, with the company now evaluating local third-party concentrate purchases to advance the ramp-up of its on-site smelter, according to an April 13 production release as the market focused its attention on the impact of global sulfuric acid shortages during CESCO Week in Chile from April 13-17.
China's planned sulfuric acid export ban from May 1, historic lows for copper concentrates treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) and a fragmenting 2026 benchmark system dominated CESCO Week 2026 in Santiago from April 13-17.
The proposal would align the index more closely with physically traded volumes in the region, and enable it to adjust to evolving market conditions. This proposal follows an observed widening of the spread between trader and smelter purchase components of the index and is aligned with a majority of market feedback. Additionally, Fastmarkets seeks feedback […]