EUROPEAN MORNING BRIEF 31/05: SHFE base metals prices all up; N American value-added Ali shipments jump in April; zinc conc TCs at 5-mth high

Good morning from Metal Bulletin’s offices in Asia as we bring you the latest news and pricing stories on Thursday May 31.

Base metal prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were all up during Asian morning trading on Thursday, finding support from the release of positive Chinese data and a weaker dollar.

China’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for May surprised to the upside with a reading of 51.9, surpassing an expected print of 51.4, according to data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics.

Meanwhile, China’s services PMI for May was broadly in line with expectations, narrowly beating an expected print of 54.8 with a reading of 54.9.

Check Metal Bulletin’s live futures report here.

LME snapshot at 02.40am London time
Latest three-month LME Prices
  Price ($ per tonne)  Change since yesterday’s close ($)
Copper 6,841.50 1.5
Aluminium 2,266.00 -4
Lead 2,445 10
Zinc 3,134 3.5
Tin 20740 165
Nickel 15,110 -20

SHFE snapshot at 09.40am Shanghai time
Most-traded SHFE contracts
  Price (yuan per tonne)  Change since yesterday’s close (yuan)
Copper  51,250 470
Aluminium 14,720 30
Zinc 24,390 430
Lead 20,010 175
Tin  155,750 2,450
Nickel  113,950 2,300

Shipments of value-added products by US and Canadian aluminium producers experienced a substantial jump in April following the imposition of sanctions last month against Russian supplier UC Rusal plc.

Zinc concentrate treatment charges (TCs) rose to their highest level this year in May, with smelters refraining from purchases of spot tonnages. And the upward trend in lead concentrate TCs reversed after an import arbitrage opened up in China.

South32 has agreed to buy a 50% stake in Australian metallurgical coal project Eagle Downs from Aquila Resources, a subsidiary of China Baowu Steel Group.

Tight spot supply of Iranian lead ingots has pushed up premiums for major importers such as India and some Southeast Asian countries, while premiums for zinc remain stable across global markets with levels in Europe holding at a multi-year low.

Tin premiumsfell further in Europe to hit four-month lows following a substantial jump in exports from Indonesia in May, while premiums in the United States and China were more resilient against downside pressure and held stable.

What to read next
Copper’s long-term outlook is constrained by the industry’s limited ability to bring new supply online fast enough to meet rising demand, with permitting delays, higher capital costs and policy risks slowing project development, industry executives said at the FT Commodities Global Summit on Wednesday April 22.
Capital is flowing back into junior mining, but selectively. Investment is increasingly favouring development‑stage assets with clearer paths to production, supported by government funding and strategic partnerships. While demand for critical minerals underpins the cycle, early‑stage explorers continue to struggle for capital as investors prioritise discipline, ESG alignment and near‑term cash flow.
Copper in concentrate production from Ivanhoe Mines' Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) fell to 61,906 tonnes in the first quarter, down by 54% from 133,120 tonnes a year earlier, with the company now evaluating local third-party concentrate purchases to advance the ramp-up of its on-site smelter, according to an April 13 production release as the market focused its attention on the impact of global sulfuric acid shortages during CESCO Week in Chile from April 13-17.
China's planned sulfuric acid export ban from May 1, historic lows for copper concentrates treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) and a fragmenting 2026 benchmark system dominated CESCO Week 2026 in Santiago from April 13-17.
The proposal would align the index more closely with physically traded volumes in the region, and enable it to adjust to evolving market conditions. This proposal follows an observed widening of the spread between trader and smelter purchase components of the index and is aligned with a majority of market feedback. Additionally, Fastmarkets seeks feedback […]
Until now, aluminium has been hard to move, not hard to find. Global aluminium supply had remained technically intact, even as output was curtailed in parts of the Gulf, inventory buffers were drawn down or repositioned, and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was severely disrupted.