Supply chains spotlight

How supply chain disruptions and changing trade flows are impacting commodity markets

The complexities and opacity of global supply chains impact all commodity markets. The drive towards a low-carbon, sustainable future is giving rise to a new generation of markets with vastly different supply chains that pose new challenges and opportunities for all market participants.

We’ve seen not only how labor shortages due to the Covid-19 pandemic have affected the global production and distribution of metals and mining as well as forest products, but also how Russia’s war on Ukraine has vastly altered the movement of grains and oilseeds.

For new generation energy markets, recent policy changes and new regulations on the nearshoring of battery materials are adding a new layer of complexity to this supply chain.

If you’re interested in talking to us about how our insights and intelligence can help you create supply chain efficiency and transparency, get in contact today.

Read the latest news and analysis on supply chain issues

The DRC is set to decide on the future of its cobalt export ban on June 22, potentially extending, modifying or ending the policy. Aimed at boosting local refining and value creation, the ban has left global markets uncertain, with stakeholders calling for clarity as cobalt prices fluctuate and concerns over long-term demand grow.

Cobalt Holdings plans to acquire 6,000 tonnes of cobalt. Following their $230M London Stock Exchange listing, this move secures a key cobalt reserve. With the DRC’s export ban affecting prices, the decision reflects shifting industry dynamics

China’s shipbuilding sector remains strong despite proposed US tariffs, leading the industry for the 15th consecutive year in 2024 with 55.7% of global completions and 74.1% of new orders. Chinese shipyards benefit from low labor costs, efficient supply chains and competitive steel prices, offering vessels at significantly lower costs than US equivalents. High demand for materials and next-gen vessels further reinforces China’s dominance in global shipbuilding.

China is a key leader in lithium-ion battery recycling, implementing new national standards designed to strengthen supply chain security, improve efficiency and address increasing market demand by July 2025.

Fastmarkets’ March 2025 forecast lowers global crude steel production to 1.846 billion tonnes, reflecting trade policy impacts and economic uncertainties despite late 2024 production gains in key markets like China and the US.

The Trump administration has introduced reciprocal tariffs, matching about half the rates imposed by US trade partners, with a minimum of 10%, to boost domestic industries and achieve “economic independence.” While praised by US steel manufacturers for protecting jobs, the effect on trade relationships with partners like Canada and Mexico remains uncertain.

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