Russia’s ag ministry floats wheat, feed grain export tax increases

Russia’s agriculture ministry has proposed a €20/mt increase from March on a planned wheat export duty as the government...

Russia’s agriculture ministry has proposed a €20/mt increase from March on a planned wheat export duty as the government looks for ways to stem rising food costs, with new duties on feed grains also floated under the scheme.

The ministry said in a statement Wednesday that a €25/mt export duty on wheat that is set to come into force on February 15 could rise to €45/mt from March 15.

Corn would be taxed at €25/mt and barley at €10/mt from March 15 under the scheme.

There was no mention of a levy on rye.

The proposal is set to be discussed at a meeting with industry representatives on January 15.

Wednesday’s moves come after the government put a €25/mt export duty on wheat in place last month to run from February 15-June 30 to try and control food price inflation.

A 17.5 million mt grain export quota was also put in place for the same period, with any shipments above the limit subject to a 50% duty of at least €100/mt.

Barley, corn, and rye exports can leave duty free under the current scheme but are still subject to the export quota.

It comes as consumer prices rose 0.8% over December and were up 4.9% through 2020, according to official statistical data published this week.

Reaction

Traders reacted mixed, with some expecting any increase to the export tax to be quickly absorbed by international prices and passed back into the domestic market as farmers continue to hold onto stocks.

Others said the announcement gives some breathing room, with no changes expected for at least a month.

“With Matif and Chicago down, we have room to move goods in January and the start of February,” a broker said.

What to read next
In the latest short episode of Fast Forward, Fastmarkets grain market reporter Masha Belikova explores the key forces shaping wheat pricing across the Black Sea region and why prices have remained unexpectedly firm despite strong crop expectations.
US wheat futures and Euronext contracts were mixed on Tuesday June 16, with most US contracts moving lower, while Chicago soft red winter wheat futures posted gains. Euronext contracts also moved higher during the session. Global cash markets remained subdued, with limited activity as buyers largely stayed on the sidelines. Black Sea wheat prices are starting to trend lower under seasonal harvest pressure, while Australia, Europe and Argentina were broadly steady.
Soybean and soybean meal futures continued to ride on the coattails of the bullish National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) crush report on Tuesday June 16, with market chatter that China is bidding on — or indeed may have already bought — US beans for February, giving much-lauded impetus to further increases in futures markets over the period.
Soybean oil bases in Argentina and Brazil hit a record spread to their counterpart in the US Gulf on June 1, with a mix of biofuel policies, harvest pressures and export competition against rival oils creating massive regional divergences, although the spread decreased by the end of last week amid a CME soyoil futures sell-off.
EU wheat exports reached 19.23 million tonnes as of May 31, according to European Commission data, yet weekly flow data from Rouen port collapsed 66.6% to 72,923 tonnes in the week to June 3, pointing to a sharp deceleration in physical trade.
Fastmarkets’ weekly recap of the main movements in global cash markets.