Russia’s wheat exports from Black Sea ports fall to 460kt

Key takeaways:

• Egypt remains the largest importer of Russia’s wheat exports, with significant shipments also going to Yemen, Kenya and Nigeria, while a substantial volume still awaits destination allocation.
• Russia’s wheat exports in September 2025 are forecasted to be 18-22% lower than the same period in 2024, reflecting a broader decline compared to the four-year average.
• By the end of September 2025, cumulative wheat exports are projected at 10.6 million tonnes, marking a 27% decrease from last year’s record pace.

Key importers of Russia’s wheat exports

Egypt remained the largest importer, receiving 215,250 tonnes, followed by Yemen with 53,432 tonnes and Kenya with 51,300 tonnes. Nigeria imported 46,642 tonnes, while Iraq received 30,440 tonnes. Shipments to unspecified destinations totaled 62,500 tonnes.

Apart from the volume shipped last week, an additional 1.142 million tonnes of milling wheat are currently under loading.

Major shipments and pending allocations of Russia’s wheat exports

The largest confirmed shipment of milling wheat was to Egypt with 181,000 tonnes, followed by Kenya (109,000 tonnes). Then to Israel (86,000 tonnes), Saudi Arabia (66,000 tonnes), Vietnam (66,000 tonnes), Bangladesh (54,000 tonnes), Libya (25,000 tonnes) and Turkey (23,000 tonnes). Approximately 531,800 tonnes of milling wheat still had no designated destination, pending allocation.

Another 1.63 million tonnes of milling wheat are currently aboard vessels and expected to reach their destination.

Confirmed destinations for milling wheat included Egypt (124,000 tonnes), Saudi Arabia (66,000 tonnes) and Bangladesh (54,600 tonnes). As well as Tanzania (54,300 tonnes) and Djibouti (27,900 tonnes).

About 1.31 million tonnes remain on board vessels with no designated destination, pending allocation.

In addition, 17,200 tonnes of Kazakh durum wheat are currently aboard vessels. All of which have no designated destination, pending allocation.

Forecasts and trends in Russia’s wheat exports

According to Sovecon, Russia’s wheat exports in September 2025 are forecast at 4.2 million tonnes. This is 18-22% lower than in September 2024 (5.1-5.39 million tonnes). And about 12% below the four-year average for the month (4.75 million tonnes). A similar view was expressed by Rusagrotrans, which projects September exports in the range of 4.3-4.5 million tonnes.

This follows August shipments of 4.4 million tonnes, compared with 5.6 million tonnes in August 2024, and July exports of 2.0 million tonnes, against 3.6 million tonnes in July 2024.

Cumulatively, by the end of September 2025, wheat exports are projected at 10.6 million tonnes, according to Sovecon. That is 27% lower than last year’s record pace of 14.5 million tonnes. And around 18% below the four-year average of 13.0 million tonnes.

Barley exports and additional insights

As for barley, a total of 50,000 tonnes were exported during the reporting week, all of which went to Saudi Arabia

In addition, 56,000 tonnes of barley are currently under loading, with 31,000 tonnes destined for Turkey and 25,000 tonnes for Egypt, while the remainder has no designated destination.

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