Wheat
Understand the forces shaping the global wheat market
The wheat market remains in flux as production has shifted away from a stable, transparent US hub to more regional production centers, notably the Black Sea. Disruptions from geopolitical conflicts, severe weather and logistic snarls have upended traditional trade flows and driven price volatility. While overall global production remains stable, buyers are facing supply and price uncertainty throughout the market, from animal feed to pasta production.
To stay on top of it all and offset the financial risks that come with such high volatility, market players must keep up to date with the changing prices and drivers. Our global and local insights-driven news and prices help you to manage risk and make the right business decisions when trading in this constantly evolving market.
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This is Fastmarkets’ weekly recap of the main movements in global cash markets.
Russia’s wheat export volumes from Black Sea ports totaled 732,180 tonnes in the week ended August 14, plus US wheat exports for the 2025/26 marketing year are now projected at 875 million bu, up by 25 million bu from the previous estimate.
The forecast for the new wheat crop in Australia improved as rain finally brought relief to most of the producing regions in the country, Fastmarkets learned.
The Russian grain harvest had reached 33.75 million tonnes from 10.32 million hectares as of Monday July 21, according to official government data. Harvest progress had advanced to 21.5% of the planned 47.92 million ha, a rise of 7 percentage points in one week from 14.5%.
Black Sea wheat prices have surged in recent weeks due to tight supply and rising domestic demand, with market dynamics and harvest progress hinting at potential further shifts in the weeks ahead.
The corrections are as follows: AG-WHE-0028 Wheat 13.5% FOB Canada CWRS $/mt Incorrect prices: M1 July $279.00 per tonne M2 August $53.75 per tonne M3 September $55.50 per tonne M4 October $48.25 per tonne M5 November $48.25 per tonne M6 December $50.25 per tonne M7 January $41.00 per tonne M8 February $39.25 per tonne M9 March […]
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