SAF in 2025: pioneering EU and UK aviation fuel mandates

Discover the key insights, forecasts, and industry dynamics shaping the future of aviation fuel and learn how these mandates will impact the global landscape.

This year and beyond, Europe and the UK are preparing to reach an ambitious milestone in sustainable aviation. Aviation fuel mandates, designed to propel the adoption of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), promise to reshape how the industry tackles climate challenges. But the path to achieving these goals is anything but straightforward.

Meeting the UK and EU SAF mandates

The EU and UK are setting a precedent with their SAF mandates, requiring airlines to blend at least 2% of SAF into their jet fuel supply by 2025. At face value, the numbers sound achievable. Just over 1.2 million tonnes of SAF will be needed between the two regions. However, considering the EU’s jet fuel consumption hovers around 46 million tonnes annually and the UK at 11.9 million tonnes, the scale of transformation required is monumental.

But 2025’s mandate is just the start. The EU’s ReFuelEU Aviation regulation is targeting 6% SAF by 2030 and an ambitious 70% by 2050. Meanwhile, the UK is aiming for 10% by 2030, and while their trajectory is slightly different, the ultimate pressure to decarbonize is no less intense.

How, then, will these mandates be met? What hurdles might lie ahead for the aviation industry, and where do the opportunities begin to emerge?

The SAF production puzzle

New mandates aren’t just increasing SAF quotas but are also pushing for technologies like synthetic SAF and alternatives to the dominant HEFA pathway. While necessary for the long-term roadmap, these advancements come with their own cost and scalability concerns.

The move to SAF isn’t just about compliance, it’s an investment in resilience and innovation for the aviation industry. For businesses across the supply chain, this marks an opportunity to lead the way in sustainable solutions.

Want to learn more? Access our complete data story, “SAF in 2025: meeting ambitious EU and UK aviation fuel mandates.”

Read the full report and view our forecasts
Want to know more? Fill out this form to discover the key insights, forecasts, and industry dynamics shaping the future of aviation fuel, plus learn how these mandates will impact the global landscape.

What to read next
Indian vegetable oil buyers are awaiting further details of a recently announced India-US trade deal, in which India is expected to reduce tariffs on certain US goods, including imports of soybean oil.
Fastmarkets’ weekly recap of the main movements in global cash markets.
The consultation, which was originally open until February 6, sought to address growing market interest in these prices, to give more visibility into the price formation process and to more closely align these assessments with observed trading patterns. Specifically, Fastmarkets is seeking further feedback on: Extended consultation periodThe extended consultation period for these proposed changes starts […]
Vegoils futures were broadly lower on Friday February 6.
An incorrect EUR/USD exchange rate, used to convert the cost of inputs priced in euros to US dollars, caused the prices to be calculated incorrectly. This has now been rectified. The following prices were affected: AG-SAF-0004 Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF max), base cost, exw Netherlands, $/tonnePublished incorrectly as: $2,995 per tonneCorrected to: $1,996 per tonne […]
Indonesia’s palm oil exports in December reached 2.62 million tonnes, according to data from cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services (ITS), with the figure comprising exports of palm oil and its derivatives, palm kernel oil and oleochemicals.