Read the full transcript from episode 8, season 2 of the Fast Forward podcast with Andrea Hotter, featuring Raj Surendran.

Discover how big oil is fuelling change in the global electric vehicle (EV) market with the latest episode of Fast Forward podcast

The recent doubling of Section 232 tariffs to 50%, announced by President Trump, has introduced significant uncertainty to the US steel market, with traders reporting disruptions to imports, paused domestic mill quotes and concerns over potential price increases amid modest demand. Industry participants are now assessing how the additional costs will be absorbed across the supply chain.

A US court has struck down key reciprocal tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, ruling that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not grant unlimited tariff authority. While markets reacted positively, Section 232 duties on steel and aluminium remain in effect, prompting continued uncertainty and a likely appeal by the Trump administration.

The US trade roller coaster ride seems to be flattening, with signs of potential moderation and stability. It appears increasingly likely that our original expectation that the US Trump administration would primarily use the threat of tariffs as a negotiating strategy will be correct. While we do not expect to the US tariff position return to pre-2025 levels, we believe the overall US tariff burden is more likely to settle at around 10-30% globally rather than the elevated rates of 50-100% that seemed possible in recent weeks.

Ford Motor Company will offset $1 billion of an expected $2.5 billion exposure from tariffs and remains "on track and within our original full-year guidance range of $7 billion-8.5 billion" in operating earnings for 2025, Jim Farley, president and chief executive officer, said during the automaker's first-quarter earnings call on Monday March 5.

Mary Barra, chair and chief executive officer of General Motors (GM), told shareholders in a letter on Thursday May 1 the automaker has lowered earnings guidance for the year to offset its exposure to $4-5 billion in auto tariffs in order to retain current suggested retail pricing for its vehicles.

Explore how rare earths power innovation, China's dominance and efforts to build a resilient global supply chain

The US-UK trade deal removes tariffs on steel and aluminium while reducing automotive duties, offering relief to British industries and reshaping transatlantic trade dynamics. The agreement also signals broader implications for global trade negotiations, particularly regarding China and excess capacity in metals.