Codelco copper output to increase around 30% by 2030, chairman says: LME Week | Hotter Commodities

Codelco expects to begin to gradually increase its copper production following several years of declining output, with a roughly 30% rise from current levels expected by 2030, the chairman of Chile’s state-owned copper company told Fastmarkets

According to Máximo Pacheco, the company has committed to annual copper production of around 1.7 million tonnes by the end of the decade, up from a forecast 1.31-1.35 million tonnes this year.

“What we are committed to do and what we expect will happen, is that the declining production that Codelco has seen from 2021-2023 is finished. We are, from now on, going to be able to start to increase our production again to achieve levels of 1.7 million tonnes by 2030,” Pacheco said in an interview in London on Friday, October 6, ahead of the annual LME Week.

This will in part be achieved through improving and strengthening maintenance and asset management programs, along with new projects, including some in the ramp-up stage which are set to contribute to production, he said.

“At the end of day, the way this story will end is that we faced a situation where we saw some decline in production, but we were expanding the life of our mines for another 50 years,” Pacheco added.

In July, Codelco slashed its full-year copper production forecast by almost 4% to 1.31-1.35 million tonnes, from 1.35-1.42 million tonnes. Output in the first half of the year was reported at 633,000 tonnes.

According to the company, lower grades in mined ore have been the main reason for the fall in output. Copper content from major mines such as Chuquicamata was becoming thinner, and replacement projects to compensate for this depletion were ramping-up slowly or were being delayed.

This in turn led Codelco to adjust its concentrates sales to China in line with the reduced production expectations, Pacheco said. There is no impact to cathode output, and sales will increase once concentrate production increases, he added.

“What we are doing today is we are building all of the necessary capacity to sustain the copper production of Codelco for the next 50 years,” he told Fastmarkets.

“That requires a lot of investment because obviously our mines have a declining ore grade, and there are lots of challenges to produce more copper. This is a time of tremendous investments for Codelco – we’ve been involved in structural, mega projects, simultaneously,” he said.

The company has also seen a rise in investment by its owner, the government of Chile, following an agreement to annually reinvest 30% of Codelco’s 2021-2024 profits. The move has strengthened Codelco’s financial balance sheet and reduced the need for additional financial debt.

“At the same time, if you want to have the projects on time and on budget, this is not only about funding. This is about execution,” Pacheco said.

The company has therefore agreed to simplify its organization and strengthen project development at a divisional level to allow for faster and more efficient decision-making, he added.

In Hotter Commodities, special correspondent Andrea Hotter covers some of the biggest stories impacting the natural resources sector. Sign up today to receive Andrea’s content as it is published.

What to read next
Half a million tonnes of copper is sitting in US warehouses, and the traders who put it there are starting to wonder whether they’ve built a hedge, or a trap.
European automotive procurement faces growing complexity due to regional cost volatility and policy-driven supply chains reshaping material pricing and sourcing strategies. This demands granular, region-specific market intelligence for precise cost modeling and strategic decision-making.
The assessment, which currently follows the UK holiday calendar, will follow the Singapore holiday calendar after the proposed change. There will be no change to the publication timing, and the assessment will continue to be published weekly on Wednesdays, at 7pm Singapore time. The purpose of the adjustment is to align the timing to the […]
JX Advanced Metals, Mitsui Kinzoku, Marubeni and Mitsubishi Materials(MMC) inked a deal to integrate MMC's copper concentrate procurement and related products sales business into Pan Pacific Copper (PPC), marking a significant consolidation of Japan's copper concentrate purchasing sector amid persistent pressure from weak treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs).
The publication of Fastmarkets’ assessments of the nickel min 99.8% full plate premium, in-whs Shanghai, and the nickel min 99.8% full plate premium, cif Shanghai for Tuesday May 26 were delayed because of a reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated. The following prices were affected:MB-NI-0143 Nickel min 99.8% full plate premium, in-whs Shanghai, […]
Copper producers, including Atlas Mining, reported higher earnings in the first quarter of 2026 on the back of elevated copper prices, while concentrate output declined at several operations in Chile, Brazil, Colombia and the Philippines due to lower ore grades and disruptions, according to company results reviewed by Fastmarkets.