Lumber prices continue to drop with wood market cautious amid tariff uncertainty

Explore the current trends in the wood market as prices for framing lumber continue to decline amidst economic uncertainty.

The downward price slide of recent weeks was unabated across most framing lumber species.

Uncertainty surrounding the economy and potential new developments in US trade policy contributed to a cautious market tone. Many traders lamented that they anticipated at least a modest decline in mortgage interest rates by now that has not materialized.

Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Price

With discounts cutting deeper across most species, the Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Price tumbled $14. That’s the composite’s first double-digit drop since April 2024.

Downward price pressure intensified across the South. Deep discounts surfaced more frequently from producers seeking offers to clear mounting accumulations. Buyers’ perceptions shifted from uncertainty regarding the market’s next move in previous weeks to outright fear of downside risk.

Demand from treaters faded. Many covered needs through Memorial Day and beyond with earlier purchases and throttled back new orders. Competitively priced Western S-P-F crept deeper into traditional Southern Pine markets, especially lower grades, which contributed to the downward price pressure on SYP. You can subscribe to the Fastmarkets daily SYP newsletter here.

A moderately more active tone punctuated by several larger-volume purchases of Western S-P-F led to increased optimism among some traders that a bottom was close. However, those sales were spurred by steep discounts, and reported prices declined across grades and widths.

Lumber futures settled sharply higher on Thursday after a prolonged downward trend. The upward movement increased overall market confidence for some traders. The board traded near par with the physical market week to date.

In Coast and Inland markets, 2×6 was still weak across grades, especially in #2&Btr. 2×12 was also soft, with 2×10 not much better. In the last three weeks, 2×12 has dropped by more than $100 in some markets.

Want to hear more about this? You can subscribe the Fastmarkets Random Lengths weekly lumber commentary for further insights.

What to read next
Fastmarkets invited feedback from the industry on the pricing methodology for PIX Packaging Europe price indices via an open consultation process between April 24 and May 22, 2025. This consultation was done as part of our published annual methodology review process.
This consultation, which is open until June 25, 2025, seeks to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the non-indexed physical market, in compliance with the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) principles for Price Reporting Agencies (PRAs). This includes all elements of our pricing process, our price specifications and publication frequency. You can find […]
Investors in the US corn and wheat markets amassed shorts in the week to Tuesday May 13, moving corn from a net long to a net short for the first time since October, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed late on Friday May 16.
The US aluminium industry is experiencing challenges related to tariffs, which have contributed to higher prices and premiums, raising questions about potential impacts on demand. Alcoa's CEO has noted that sustained high prices could affect the domestic market. While trade agreements might provide some relief, analysts expect premiums to remain elevated in the near term. However, aluminum demand is projected to grow over the long term, supported by the energy transition and clean energy projects. To meet this demand, the industry will need to increase production, restart idle smelters and address factors such as electricity costs and global competition.
Get the latest on potential port strikes in Sweden and how they could affect pulp and paper trade in the region.
The UK’s domestic bioethanol industry could be at risk as a result of the recent trade deal announced between the UK and the US, industry members have warned.