Lumber prices continue to rise: Fifth weekly gain despite southern pine lag

Access a snippet of our weekly lumber commentary, which features our expert analysis on the fifth consecutive weekly price gain.

Sales picked up in many framing lumber species, especially in the West. A lack of supplies in Canadian S-P-F led to buyers switching to other species. As a result, in the middle of the week markets like the Inland and Coast saw more demand and price gains than have been evident for several weeks.

The Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Price notched its fifth consecutive weekly gain and hit $430, its high so far this year.

A mild increase in demand for Western S-P-F collided with the realization from buyers that lumber supplies were significantly constrained in spots. Mills sold their few prompt offerings and raised quotes for extended shipments. Most order files extended into mid-November. Rising mortgage rates and next week’s U.S. election were distractions but had little impact on the market.

Gains in the cash market were supported by strong upward movement in lumber futures through Wednesday. The November and January contracts traded in the green much of the week, with double-digit gains posted across all contracts on Wednesday.

Despite an overall rising market, Southern Pine was a laggard. Supply-driven strength that fueled the recent run in the South faded or stalled as mill order files dwindled and prompt loads surfaced more frequently. Demand weakened as a growing number of buyers throughout the distribution pipeline moved to the sidelines.

Some mills continued to capture premiums, noting that middle widths in particular were competitively priced compared to Western S-P-F. Buyers confined new orders to loads that could ship within one week.

The Coast market rolled into Halloween on a positive note as tightness in green Fir and S-P-F resulted in buyers subbing in dry Fir. “We’re driving the bus right now,” said one mill salesman.

Interested in learning more about the Random Lengths weekly report? Find out how to subscribe to gain access to the full piece, including data visualizations and commodity-specific analysis.

What to read next
In 2025, fluctuating lumber prices and evolving retail trends—from e-commerce surges to shifting seasonal demands—are reshaping the pallet supply chain. Understanding these changes is crucial for ensuring supply chain resilience.
Southern Yellow Pine (SYP) is moving to the beat of its own drum. While lumber markets have historically moved in tandem, recent data shows SYP prices are decoupling from other species like Spruce-Pine-Fir (SPF). In a post-pandemic market, the correlation between SYP and SPF has plummeted from over 80% to nearly zero. This fundamental shift underscores the growing need for a dedicated hedging tool for the world's fastest-growing lumber market.
The publication of several Fastmarkets pricing suites for Random Lengths lumber prices was earlier than scheduled on November 25, 2025, because of a scheduling error.
Discover how AI innovation is reshaping the future of print and publishing, as revealed at the World Printers Summit 2025
Fastmarkets proposes to launch western S-P-F #2&btr 2x4-2x12 delivered Vancouver and delivered Calgary; western S-P-F MSR 1650f and 2100f 2x4 and 2x6 delivered Vancouver; eastern S-P-F #1&2 2x4 and 2x6 8’-16’ specified lengths delivered Montreal; eastern S-P-F MSR 1650f and 2100f 2x4 delivered Toronto, and 1650f 2x6 delivered Toronto.
Explore the benefits of buying new vs used pallets and their impact on sustainability in the packaging industry.