Biofuels forecasts

Anticipate price movements and supply and demand dynamics across global biofuel and feedstock markets

Biofuel supply chain managers face several challenges in planning for raw material procurement and inventory management. These challenges stem from the inherent volatility and complexity of both the biofuel industry and the broader economic environment. In addition, frequent changes in government policies, subsidies and environmental regulations can impact market stability and affect all those who trade in the biofuels and feedstocks sector.

Fastmarkets’ analyses and forecasts are based on a holistic approach that considers relevant and market-reflective raw material price data and supply trends. They are designed to help you negotiate futures contracts, minimize risk and maximize profit margins.

Along with price forecasting, we offer credit price forecasting and margin comparisons. Equipped with this information, you can take actionable steps in generating greater profits.

Our biofuel forecasts include

  • LCFS Credit price forecast
  • Gross margin comparisons for renewable diesel and biodiesel (with and without credits)
  • Revenue vs cost differences for renewable diesel and biodiesel
  • Renewable diesel vs biodiesel costs breakdowns of feedstock inputs such as DCO, UCO, YG, SBO, etc.
  • Impacts of credit values on renewable diesel and biodiesel
  • RIN price forecast
  • Spreads on heating oil to SBO
  • HOBO forward curve
  • Biodiesel, SAF and renewable diesel production and spreads
  • EMTS Biofuels supply, production and imports
  • Changes to the D4, D5 and D6 RINs
  • US domestic ethanol
  • EIA Production data, feedstock use, sales, etc.

Negotiate with confidence, enhance your procurement strategies and access higher profit margins opportunities

Why choose our biofuels forecasts
  • Expert insight: Our expert analysts have in-depth knowledge of the market, including factors that may not be fully reflected in current market prices, such as upcoming policy changes, technological advancements or macroeconomic trends
  • Customization: Our forecasts can be tailored to the specific needs of a client, considering unique circumstances or requirements
  • Broader data consideration: Our forecasting services go beyond forward curves, as they use a wide range of data sources, including qualitative insights from industry insiders and quantitative data from a broad range of feedstock markets

Your benefits

Competitive advantage

Our independent forecasts help you stay ahead of the market. Leverage our  insights to secure a competitive edge in the fast-paced agriculture market. 

Negotiate with confidence

Empower your futures contracts discussions with our unbiased and market-reflective forecasts. Make informed decisions, negotiate better deals and maximize your profit margins. 

Risk assessment

Identify potential market shifts before they happen. Our forecasts help mitigate risks by providing early signals of market changes, enabling you to adjust your strategies in advance. 

Save time on research

Leave the heavy lifting to us. Save time on research with our comprehensive market analysis and concentrate more on your core business activities. 


Browse our agriculture market insights

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More Fastmarkets products to help you

As well as forecasting and analysis for the agriculture market, we also offer news, price data, consulting and risk management solutions.

Stay on top of this increasingly volatile market with real-time data from our agriculture prices

Anticipate global agricultural market trends and dynamics

Know what’s moving your markets and the forces driving change with Fastmarkets agriculture news

Grow and protect your profits

Your partner in creating value and managing risk

Fastmarkets’ agriculture events provide insights-rich and network-centric experiences to enable trading and guide strategic decisions


Fastmarkets combines the commodity intelligence of these familiar names:

Metal Bulletin • American Metal Market • Scrap Price Bulletin • Industrial Minerals • RISI • FOEX • The Jacobsen • Agricensus • Palm Oil Analytics • Random Lengths • FastMarkets and more


Get in touch

Whether you would like to speak to one of our experts or request a demo of our products, we’re here for you.

Talk to us today

Why use a price reporting agency?

Navigate uncertainty and make business decisions with confidence using our price data, forecasts and critical intelligence.

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