Renewable diesel: Capacity and production outlook in South America and the US + short-term price forecasts

Indonesia will maintain its ban on exports of crude palm oil mill effluent (POME) and crude used cooking oil (UCO) as President Prabowo Subianto doubles down on plans to secure domestic feedstocks for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production and position the country as a leading global aviation fuel supplier.

Based on market feedback received and data collected, Fastmarkets has changed the free fatty acids (FFA) content to a maximum of 5% and iodine value (IV) to a minimum of 70 grams of iodine/mercury (hg), to reflect a specification used more commonly in the market. The updated quality specification of the prices are as follows: […]

An incorrect EUR/USD exchange rate, used to convert the cost of inputs priced in euros to US dollars, caused the prices to be calculated incorrectly. This has now been rectified. The following prices were affected: AG-SAF-0004 Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF max), base cost, exw Netherlands, $/tonnePublished incorrectly as: $2,995 per tonneCorrected to: $1,996 per tonne […]

Prices for European biofuel feedstocks from the Annex IX A and B list, including animal fats, used cooking oil (UCO) and soap stock acid oil (SSAO), showed a wide range of volatility during 2025, according to Fastmarkets’ assessments, with levels fluctuating by $152.50 per tonne (16.5%) on average.

Crude palm oil (CPO) futures rebounded from three days of losses to recover to its highest in three weeks on Friday January 16, spurred by gains across the broader vegoil complex and pre-weekend positioning while further indications of a slowing pace of production also lent support.

These changes are based partly on market feedback and on changes to regional production and SAF flows to Chicago and Los Angeles. Additionally, the calculations for feedstock production volume loss have been updated with market feedback. The new calculation assumes maximized SAF output at a hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) production facility, and so […]