Lumber prices remain flat through the start of 2025 amid uncertainty

Access a snippet of the Random Lengths weekly Lumber Market Report, exploring how prices have stabilized in 2025.

Trends in many framing lumber markets were unchanged amid persistent uncertainty regarding tariffs and frigid temperatures across much of the US.

The presidential inauguration and Martin Luther King Jr. holiday on Monday served as further distractions. Western Canadian producers sold cautiously while awaiting clarity on potential tariffs. Buyers had few immediate needs and were content operating with lean inventories despite the threat of volatility. Prices were little changed in overall dull trading.

Lumber futures tracked a similar course in terms of interest, but downside was evident as the large premium in the front month eroded. The board fell each day week to date.

Meanwhile, subfreezing temperatures across the South and historic snowstorms along the Gulf Coast brought Southern Pine trading to a near standstill. Traders operated with widely diverse views of whether President Trump’s threats of tariffs of up to 25% on Canadian imports as early as February 1 will actually become a reality.

The frigid conditions forced mills and treating plants to close or run at sharply reduced rates. Insurance purchases ahead of the potential tariffs were minimal to non-existent.

Concern about interest rates, and their potential impact on housing demand, was an underlying theme prompting a cautious approach to the market. In the Inland market, most traders reported a quiet week. Mills with particular items to sell were more open to counters. 2×12 remained under the most downward price pressure.

In industrial lumber, Mldg&Btr remained susceptible to discounts, some of them as much as triple digits. Meanwhile, P.99 was sold at higher prices. Upper grades of shop held steady despite limited sales.

Want more like this? You can subscribe to the Random Lengths Lumber Market Report to access deeper insights into specific grades.

What to read next
Lithium hydroxide production outside China continues to encounter operational hurdles and softer downstream demand, slowing the pace at which new capacity can achieve stable commercial output.
Mariana Minerals is aiming to reduce US lithium production costs by roughly 20% using software to manage plant operations, the company’s chief executive officer told Fastmarkets.
European sawn timber markets began 2026 in a holding pattern, with cautious demand, broadly stable prices and storm‑related supply uncertainty shaping January trading across key regions.
The publication of Fastmarkets’ MB-STE-0464 - Steel scrap HMS 1&2 (80:20 mix) US material import, cfr main port Taiwan, $/tonne assessment for Thursday February 19 was delayed because of a reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
The US and Canadian steel industries are “aligned” in trade policies, and the imposition of Section 232 tariffs against Canada is “unjustified,” Canadian Steel Producers Association (CSPA) vice president for trade and industry affairs Francois Desmarais told Fastmarkets in an exclusive interview on Friday February 6.
The US is being very creative not only in providing funding for projects but also in finding sustainable ways to develop a Western supply of rare earths, Aclara Resources chief executive officer Ramón Barúa Costa told Fastmarkets in an interview on Monday February 9.