Mexico’s domestic yellow, white corn production forecast higher

Supply and demand report by Mexican Agricultural and Fisheries Information Service (SIAP) projects increase in output

Mexico’s yellow and white corn domestic supply for is expected to grow in 2022-23, a supply and demand report by the Mexican Agricultural and Fisheries Information Service (SIAP) revealed Monday, 31 July.

Yellow corn production

Mexico’s national supply of yellow corn for the 2022-23 marketing year, as of June 2023, is projected at 22.7 million tonnes, or 2.3% higher compared to the previous cycle.

The planting and harvest figures up to June for the autumn-winter 2022-2023 cycle indicate that 55,492 hectares of yellow corn have been planted.

Tamaulipas and Chiapas are the top two states in Mexico with the largest planted area, accounting for 88.6% of the total.

In regards to harvest, 37.8% of progress has been completed in the country, with collection to date totaling 100,590 tonnes.

Sinaloa and Tamaulipas are reported as the states with the highest production, both amounting to 80.1% of the total.

For the spring-summer 2023 cycle, as of June 2023, there is a planted area of 309,042 hectares, with Chihuahua, Jalisco, and Chiapas together accounting for 81.7% of the total national surface sown.

In the 2022-23 cycle, demand is expected to decrease, and ending stocks are expected at 2.88 million tonnes, which indicates an increase of 21.9% compared to the previous period.

The price paid to producers in the month of June 2023 was $5,290 pesos ($316 USD) per tonne, which implies a reduction of 9.4% year-on-year.

Compared to the previous month, the price reflects a decrease of 4.2%.

View our corn prices

White corn production

For the 2022-23 market cycle, as of June 2023, the supply of white corn is forecast at 26.68 million tonnes, 1.2% higher compared to the 2021-22 marketing year.

The increased supply is a result of reduced imports a, down 3.8%, while production is forecast to increase by 2.5%.

For the autumn-winter 2022-2023 cycle, planted area is at 1.16 million hectares.

Sinaloa, Veracruz, Chiapas, and Oaxaca, have the largest area planted, amounting to 76.7% of the national total.

The production obtained is 6.73 million tonnes, with Sinaloa, Veracruz, Sonora, and Oaxaca having a combined output participation of 89%.

In the spring-summer 2023 cycle, as of June 2023, there is a planted area of 2.64 million hectares, with the largest contributions deriving from the state of Mexico, Puebla, Chiapas, Veracruz, and Michoacán, with a total participation of 60.8%.

Total demand in the 2022-23 cycle, is expected at 18.65 million tonnes, while exports could reach 205,00 tonnes.

Human consumption is projected to account for 56% of the total national demand.

Domestic production is forecast to contribute 90.4% of Mexico’s total supply.

Ending stocks are estimated at 2.52 million tonnes, 31.6% more compared with the previous cycle.

The price paid to white corn producers in the month of June 2023 was $5,160 pesos ($308 USD) per tonne, 22.6% lower year-on-year.

The tortilla was quoted at $22.58 pesos per kilogram, which indicates an increase of 14% compared to the previous year.

For more information on the current corn market, take a look at our dedicated page for corn market news.

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