China’s ‘special action plan for carbon reduction’ likely to shrink demand for traditional steelmaking raw materials

A “special action plan for carbon reduction” unveiled by China's National Development & Reform Commission (NDRC) will reduce the need for coking coal and iron ore by focusing on upgrading existing equipment and the switch to electric-arc furnaces, sources told Fastmarkets this week

On Friday June 7, the NDRC and related departments unveiled the plan, which sets out some specific targets for energy conservation and carbon reduction in the steel industry by the end of 2030.

The action plan sets several major targets of the steel industry:

  • By the end of 2025, the energy consumption per tonne of product produced using blast furnace and converter processes in the iron and steel industry will be reduced by more than 1% respectively compared with 2023.
  • By the end of 2025, the energy consumption used to produce 1 tonne of steel will be reduced by more than 2% compared with 2023 and the use of self-generated waste heat and pressure will be increased by at least 3% compared with 2023.
  • From 2024 to 2025, the steel industry will reduce its standard coal use by about 20 million tonnes and carbon dioxide emissions will be reduced by about 5,300 tonnes.
  • By the end of 2030, the energy efficiency of major processes in the iron and steel industry will be further improved.

To achieve those targets, the NDRC and related departments will encourage the steel industry to increase the proportion of short-process electric-arc furnace steelmaking and accelerate the upgrading of energy-intensive equipment.

Market participants said there was unlikely to be much visible impact in 2024, but the action plan will ultimately have a negative impact on demand for Chinese raw materials such as iron ore and coking coal in the longer term.

“It will be hard to see the impact on coking coal in the short term, [but] demand for coking coal is highly likely to shrink [in the longer term],” a trader source in Northern China said.

Another trader source in the north, based in Shanxi province, said there would be negative effect on demand for steelmaking raw materials such as iron ore and coking coal.

“Because the crude steel volumes produced by EAFs will replace some volumes [currently] produced by blast furnaces – based on the guidance in the [NDRC action] plan – demand for iron ore and coking coal will be [reduced],” the source said.

Sam Li Xiaoyu in Shanghai contributed to this report.

Discover how our suite of green steel prices can support your ‘green’ investment decisions while bringing transparency to the industry. Talk to our experts today.

Follow the low-carbon steel discussion and keep up-to-date with the developments influencing the decarbonization of the steel industry

What to read next
The Chinese steel market is expected to remain reliant on export-led growth for the rest of 2025, amid poor domestic consumption and a lack of investor confidence in the property sector, delegates were told at the Singapore International Iron Ore Forum on Wednesday May 28.
The following prices were published at 4:24pm London time, instead of by the scheduled time of 4pm London time: MB-IRO-0002 Pig iron export, fob main port Black Sea, CIS, $/tonneMB-IRO-0014 Pig iron import, cfr Italy, $/tonneMB-FE-0004 Hot-briquetted iron, cfr Italian ports, $/tonne These prices are a part of the Fastmarkets Steel Raw Materials Physical Prices package. For more […]
Seaborne iron ore prices are on the rise due to increased trading activity and stable market fundamentals, highlighting steady demand and opportunities for growth while emphasizing the importance of monitoring market trends to manage risks effectively.
The recent doubling of Section 232 tariffs to 50%, announced by President Trump, has introduced significant uncertainty to the US steel market, with traders reporting disruptions to imports, paused domestic mill quotes and concerns over potential price increases amid modest demand. Industry participants are now assessing how the additional costs will be absorbed across the supply chain.
After a month-long consultation, Fastmarkets has amended the specification of its weekly steel slab, import, cif Italy, price assessment. To better reflect the material traded in the market, Fastmarkets has reduced the range of specified widths to 1,500-2,500 mm from 1,000-2,500 mm. The publication day of the assessment has also been changed from Friday to […]
After a month-long consultation period, Fastmarkets has amended the publication day of its weekly European steel domestic plate and import plate assessments from Wednesday to Thursday, to better align with related markets. The amended specifications are listed below (changes in italics): MB-STE-0034 Steel domestic plate 8-40mm, exw Northern Europe, €/tonneQuality: S235JR, width 2,500mm, length 12,000mm, thickness 8-40mm […]