European softwood lumber exports to the US cooled in second quarter of 2023

Declining production in Europe has contributed to the fade in exports to the US

After a scorching start to the year, US softwood lumber imports from Europe cooled abruptly in the second quarter. That trend contributed to an overall fade in US demand for foreign lumber through the first half.

Imports from the 10 largest European suppliers fell to 428 million board feet (mmbf) in the second quarter, down 30% from the record-setting first-quarter volume of 610 mmbf and lagging the year-ago total by 12%. European shipments to the US declined to the lowest quarterly total since the last three months of 2021.

US imports from Europe through the first half reached 1.04 billion board feet (bbf), up 12% compared to the year-ago pace through June. Shipments jumped 38% in the first quarter compared to the 2022 pace through March after reaching all-time highs last year.

Many traders anticipated European exports to the US to continue a downward trend through at least the third quarter and to fall short of last year’s record levels. Declining production in Europe has contributed to the fade in exports to the US.

US softwood lumber exports slip

North American exports to offshore destinations, meanwhile, continued to flounder amid weak demand in most key markets. But a modest rebound in the second quarter mitigated the downward trend. Canadian overseas exports slipped to 769 mmbf in the first half, down 3% from the year-ago pace. US exports offshore slipped to 194 mmbf through June, down 4% from the volume shipped in the first half of 2022.

Total US imports from overseas shippers worldwide posted a 5% gain in the first half, reaching 1.32 bbf. Second-quarter volumes, however, plummeted to 575 mmbf, down 12% from the same three months in 2022 and lagging the first-quarter volume by 23%.

Plantation Pine imports declined to 219 mmbf in the first half, down 16% from the year-ago pace. US demand for Pine from South America and New Zealand has remained relatively weak all year amid ample availability of domestic Southern Pine. Imports from Canada also faded in the first half, falling 9% to 5.96 bbf. The decline pulled total imports down 6% to 7.29 bbf.

Want to learn more about the lumber market, prices, or forecasts? Check out our dedicated page for lumber, other wood products, or speak to our team about accessing our commentary, analysis, forecasts and more.

What to read next
The decision follows a market consulation which took place from Tuesday June 23 and Monday July 20. No feedback was received. The assessments were first proposed in a pricing note published on June 23. The assessments, which will reflect prices of soybeans loaded from ports in the US Pacific Northwest into China, are aimed at […]
The cost of producing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in Europe reached sky-high levels at the end of the first half of the year, driven higher by tightening waste-based feedstock markets, volatile energy prices and growing doubts over Europe’s ability to meet its SAF ambitions, sources told Fastmarkets.
BHP reported lower FY27 copper guidance, sanctioned two Spence processing projects, disclosed a disruption at Carrapateena and highlighted progress on an Olympic Dam smelter expansion in its July 16 results package.
Using proprietary datasets and Virginia Tech surveys, Fastmarkets developed annual estimates for US pallet circulation, production, consumption and lumber use through 2040.
Higher mandate targets alongside stricter feedstock requirements have hit EU biodiesel imports in recent years, while hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) imports are on the rise.
Fastmarkets has decided to launch a CIF Rotterdam aluminium billet premium calculated assessment.