‘Green steel’ premiums to become commonplace within the next decade

Additional premiums for low-carbon ‘green steel’ are still a niche market, but will they become the norm in the next three-to-10 years? The answer is yes, according to the expert panelists at Fastmarkets’ International Iron Ore conference in Düsseldorf, Germany, in early June

Green steel is a niche market because it’s fairly new, but it will eventually become a license to operate,” Anesan Naidoo, Anglo American’s head of sales and trading (iron ore) said on Wednesday, June 8.

And Luisa Orre, chief procurement officer at Swedish start-up H2 Green Steel, said on Tuesday that “demand for high-grade green steel is definitely here.”

H2 Geen Steel is planning to produce hydrogen-based steel from 2024-2025. And its customers have already expressed an interest in, and are willing to pay a premium for, more environmentally friendly steel, Orre said.

Additional costs incurred producing green steel can be passed on to customers in the same way as additional costs to produce organic and ethical food have been passed on to the general public, she said, predicting more liquidity in green steel premiums in the coming years.

Green steel is generally defined as steel with less than 0.6 tonnes of CO2 emissions per tonne of steel produced. The steel industry is currently responsible for 7-9% of global CO2 emissions and is on a journey to decarbonize using low-carbon materials such as high-grade iron ore and scrap and new technologies such as green hydrogen-based direct reduction.

“Green steel premiums are coming,” Lee Kirk, managing director for metals at Cargill, said on Tuesday. “We expect a shortage of 5-15 million tonnes of green flat steel in Europe by 2030. It’s going to be in scarce resource.”

The steel industry is behind other sectors, such as battery producers, in terms of environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) and investing in greener technologies and raw materials and it needs at least 5-10 more years of investment into projects for greener raw materials, according to Kirk.

“Carbon pricing, energy pricing and green premiums are all intertwined with one another. We will see higher carbon pricing and more green premiums being introduced to the market. Access to green steel has drawn interest but supply in the industry is still tight. Green premiums will evolve eventually and [will become] more viable,” Kirk said.

Premiums for green iron ore?

In the same way that steelmakers are pushing for the introduction of green premiums, iron ore producers have this week introduced the idea of green premiums for low-carbon iron ore and warned of the days when customers will only accept to buy iron ore from ESG-certified miners.

“It’s very early days but we do see it coming,” according to Chris McMahen, group manager of technical marketing at Australian iron ore producer FMG Fortescue,

He said that iron ore premiums would need to be negotiated between miners and steelmakers for some time, but added that the premium for ‘green iron ore’ is likely to be a much smaller proportion of the overall price than the premium for green steel.

What to read next
The European Commission published the first-quarter 2026 Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) certificate price on Tuesday April 7, applicable to all CBAM-eligible goods imported into the EU in January-March 2026.
Automakers are expected to play a pivotal role in driving early demand for low and near-zero-emissions flat steel in Europe
Decarbonization has become the defining theme for heavy industry. With the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) now in force and mounting pressure to curb emissions, hard-to-abate sectors such as steel are being pushed to adapt to a lower-carbon economy.
Fastmarkets has decided to launch a bi-weekly price assessment for Chinese grain-oriented electrical steel (GOES) on Friday April 17. The decision follows a one-month consultation period which ended on April 4. The demand for GOES grew alongside the rapid expansion of industries such as power transmission, energy storage, artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, and electric vehicle (EV) […]
Logistics disruptions, sharply higher freight costs and limited raw materials supply are among the main impacts from the ongoing conflict between the US, Israel and Iran on the Middle East's steel market, Asam Hussain, the chief executive officer of Arabian Gulf Steel Industries (AGSI), told Fastmarkets on Wednesday April 1.
Fastmarkets has corrected its price and rationale for MB-STE-0028 steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Northern Europe and the assessments for MB-STE-0905 green steel base price HRC exw Northern Europe, daily inferred and MB-STE-0912 flat steel reduced carbon emissions, daily inferred, exw Northern Europe, which were published incorrectly on Wednesday April 1.